**Forecast models and official guidance from the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in London on August 20, 2026, most likely between 13–16 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 15 °C (46.5 %) and 16 °C (36 %).** A developing northerly flow is advecting cooler maritime air across southern England, suppressing overnight lows below recent seasonal averages while daytime highs reach only around 22 °C. Clear or clearing skies after any early showers will promote radiational cooling under light winds, favoring the 14–15 °C range that dominates trader positioning. Historical August climatology for London shows typical overnight minima near 14–15 °C, providing a baseline that current model consensus has not significantly departed from. Upcoming model runs and Met Office updates through the evening of August 19 will refine the exact minimum, but the present pattern of modest cooling without major frontal systems supports the tight clustering around 15 °C implied by current market prices.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 20?
Lowest temperature in London on August 20?
15°C 47%
16°C 36%
14°C 14%
17°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
14%
15°C
47%
16°C
36%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 47%
16°C 36%
14°C 14%
17°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
10°C or below
$28 Обс.
1%
11°C
$28 Обс.
1%
12°C
$163 Обс.
1%
13°C
$28 Обс.
4%
14°C
$46 Обс.
14%
15°C
$364 Обс.
47%
16°C
$169 Обс.
36%
17°C
$360 Обс.
6%
18°C
$150 Обс.
1%
19°C
$227 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$266 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in London on August 20, 2026, most likely between 13–16 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 15 °C (46.5 %) and 16 °C (36 %).** A developing northerly flow is advecting cooler maritime air across southern England, suppressing overnight lows below recent seasonal averages while daytime highs reach only around 22 °C. Clear or clearing skies after any early showers will promote radiational cooling under light winds, favoring the 14–15 °C range that dominates trader positioning. Historical August climatology for London shows typical overnight minima near 14–15 °C, providing a baseline that current model consensus has not significantly departed from. Upcoming model runs and Met Office updates through the evening of August 19 will refine the exact minimum, but the present pattern of modest cooling without major frontal systems supports the tight clustering around 15 °C implied by current market prices.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,829Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in London on August 20, 2026, most likely between 13–16 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 15 °C (46.5 %) and 16 °C (36 %).** A developing northerly flow is advecting cooler maritime air across southern England, suppressing overnight lows below recent seasonal averages while daytime highs reach only around 22 °C. Clear or clearing skies after any early showers will promote radiational cooling under light winds, favoring the 14–15 °C range that dominates trader positioning. Historical August climatology for London shows typical overnight minima near 14–15 °C, providing a baseline that current model consensus has not significantly departed from. Upcoming model runs and Met Office updates through the evening of August 19 will refine the exact minimum, but the present pattern of modest cooling without major frontal systems supports the tight clustering around 15 °C implied by current market prices.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,829Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in London on August 20, 2026, most likely between 13–16 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 15 °C (46.5 %) and 16 °C (36 %).** A developing northerly flow is advecting cooler maritime air across southern England, suppressing overnight lows below recent seasonal averages while daytime highs reach only around 22 °C. Clear or clearing skies after any early showers will promote radiational cooling under light winds, favoring the 14–15 °C range that dominates trader positioning. Historical August climatology for London shows typical overnight minima near 14–15 °C, providing a baseline that current model consensus has not significantly departed from. Upcoming model runs and Met Office updates through the evening of August 19 will refine the exact minimum, but the present pattern of modest cooling without major frontal systems supports the tight clustering around 15 °C implied by current market prices.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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