**Current short-range forecasts for London on September 7, 2026, show a mild overnight minimum driven by a post-weekend warm air mass, with most models indicating lows in the 13–17°C range.** High pressure and light-to-moderate westerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, while variable cloud cover and a modest breeze could prevent temperatures from dropping much below 15°C or pushing them toward 18°C or higher in some guidance. Recent model runs reflect this narrow spread, with 18°C emerging as the single most probable outcome in trader pricing because it aligns closely with ensemble means from sources such as the Met Office and GFS. The elevated probability on “13°C or below” captures downside risk from clearer skies or a temporary wind shift, whereas the non-negligible share on 23°C or higher reflects the small chance of stronger warm advection keeping the night unusually mild. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points that refine these probabilities before the market resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 7?
Lowest temperature in London on September 7?
18°C 41%
17°C 30%
23°C or higher 27%
19°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
13°C or below
16%
14°C
18%
15°C
19%
16°C
10%
17°C
30%
18°C
41%
19°C
20%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
27%
18°C 41%
17°C 30%
23°C or higher 27%
19°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Обс.
16%
14°C
$0 Обс.
18%
15°C
$0 Обс.
19%
16°C
$0 Обс.
10%
17°C
$0 Обс.
30%
18°C
$24 Обс.
41%
19°C
$30 Обс.
20%
20°C
$0 Обс.
2%
21°C
$0 Обс.
2%
22°C
$0 Обс.
2%
23°C or higher
$0 Обс.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts for London on September 7, 2026, show a mild overnight minimum driven by a post-weekend warm air mass, with most models indicating lows in the 13–17°C range.**
High pressure and light-to-moderate westerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, while variable cloud cover and a modest breeze could prevent temperatures from dropping much below 15°C or pushing them toward 18°C or higher in some guidance. Recent model runs reflect this narrow spread, with 18°C emerging as the single most probable outcome in trader pricing because it aligns closely with ensemble means from sources such as the Met Office and GFS.
The elevated probability on “13°C or below” captures downside risk from clearer skies or a temporary wind shift, whereas the non-negligible share on 23°C or higher reflects the small chance of stronger warm advection keeping the night unusually mild. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points that refine these probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts for London on September 7, 2026, show a mild overnight minimum driven by a post-weekend warm air mass, with most models indicating lows in the 13–17°C range.**
High pressure and light-to-moderate westerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, while variable cloud cover and a modest breeze could prevent temperatures from dropping much below 15°C or pushing them toward 18°C or higher in some guidance. Recent model runs reflect this narrow spread, with 18°C emerging as the single most probable outcome in trader pricing because it aligns closely with ensemble means from sources such as the Met Office and GFS.
The elevated probability on “13°C or below” captures downside risk from clearer skies or a temporary wind shift, whereas the non-negligible share on 23°C or higher reflects the small chance of stronger warm advection keeping the night unusually mild. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points that refine these probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecasts for London on September 7, 2026, show a mild overnight minimum driven by a post-weekend warm air mass, with most models indicating lows in the 13–17°C range.** High pressure and light-to-moderate westerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, while variable cloud cover and a modest breeze could prevent temperatures from dropping much below 15°C or pushing them toward 18°C or higher in some guidance. Recent model runs reflect this narrow spread, with 18°C emerging as the single most probable outcome in trader pricing because it aligns closely with ensemble means from sources such as the Met Office and GFS. The elevated probability on “13°C or below” captures downside risk from clearer skies or a temporary wind shift, whereas the non-negligible share on 23°C or higher reflects the small chance of stronger warm advection keeping the night unusually mild. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points that refine these probabilities before the market resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання