The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently driving moderate to heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila is the main factor keeping trader odds nearly even between a 20°C-or-below minimum (42.5%) and 30°C-or-higher (41.5%) on September 11. Persistent rain and overcast skies from this system typically suppress both daytime maxima and overnight radiative cooling, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–25°C amid 80% rain probability. Historical September lows in Manila average 25–26°C, though stronger monsoon episodes can shave 1–2°C lower without reaching the extremes priced in the market. Fresh model runs and the next PAGASA extended outlook will likely tighten the range as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 11?
20°C or below 92%
30°C or higher 80%
23°C 40%
21°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
20°C or below
92%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
40%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
20%
27°C
37%
28°C
37%
29°C
37%
30°C or higher
80%
20°C or below 92%
30°C or higher 80%
23°C 40%
21°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
92%
21°C
$0 Обс.
37%
22°C
$0 Обс.
37%
23°C
$0 Обс.
40%
24°C
$0 Обс.
25%
25°C
$0 Обс.
25%
26°C
$0 Обс.
20%
27°C
$0 Обс.
37%
28°C
$0 Обс.
37%
29°C
$0 Обс.
37%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently driving moderate to heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila is the main factor keeping trader odds nearly even between a 20°C-or-below minimum (42.5%) and 30°C-or-higher (41.5%) on September 11. Persistent rain and overcast skies from this system typically suppress both daytime maxima and overnight radiative cooling, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–25°C amid 80% rain probability. Historical September lows in Manila average 25–26°C, though stronger monsoon episodes can shave 1–2°C lower without reaching the extremes priced in the market. Fresh model runs and the next PAGASA extended outlook will likely tighten the range as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently driving moderate to heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila is the main factor keeping trader odds nearly even between a 20°C-or-below minimum (42.5%) and 30°C-or-higher (41.5%) on September 11. Persistent rain and overcast skies from this system typically suppress both daytime maxima and overnight radiative cooling, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–25°C amid 80% rain probability. Historical September lows in Manila average 25–26°C, though stronger monsoon episodes can shave 1–2°C lower without reaching the extremes priced in the market. Fresh model runs and the next PAGASA extended outlook will likely tighten the range as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently driving moderate to heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila is the main factor keeping trader odds nearly even between a 20°C-or-below minimum (42.5%) and 30°C-or-higher (41.5%) on September 11. Persistent rain and overcast skies from this system typically suppress both daytime maxima and overnight radiative cooling, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–25°C amid 80% rain probability. Historical September lows in Manila average 25–26°C, though stronger monsoon episodes can shave 1–2°C lower without reaching the extremes priced in the market. Fresh model runs and the next PAGASA extended outlook will likely tighten the range as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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