Recent forecast updates from models like GFS and regional synoptic guidance point to northwest winds advecting cooler air into Moscow, with partial clearing overnight on September 7–8 enabling radiative cooling. This setup supports a minimum near 5–7°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around those values. Key differentiators include minor variations in predicted low-level wind speeds, dew point depression, and residual cloud cover that could limit or enhance cooling below the seasonal average low of roughly 9°C. Clearer conditions favor the lower end of the range, while any increase in moisture or mixing would push readings toward 8°C or higher. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
4°C or below 43.8%
14°C or higher 43.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
4°C or below
44%
5°C
27%
6°C
27%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
1%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C or higher
44%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
4°C or below 43.8%
14°C or higher 43.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Обс.
44%
5°C
$11 Обс.
27%
6°C
$0 Обс.
27%
7°C
$0 Обс.
27%
8°C
$0 Обс.
27%
9°C
$0 Обс.
27%
10°C
$150 Обс.
1%
11°C
$50 Обс.
50%
12°C
$200 Обс.
50%
13°C
$50 Обс.
8%
14°C or higher
$0 Обс.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models like GFS and regional synoptic guidance point to northwest winds advecting cooler air into Moscow, with partial clearing overnight on September 7–8 enabling radiative cooling. This setup supports a minimum near 5–7°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around those values. Key differentiators include minor variations in predicted low-level wind speeds, dew point depression, and residual cloud cover that could limit or enhance cooling below the seasonal average low of roughly 9°C. Clearer conditions favor the lower end of the range, while any increase in moisture or mixing would push readings toward 8°C or higher. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$461Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models like GFS and regional synoptic guidance point to northwest winds advecting cooler air into Moscow, with partial clearing overnight on September 7–8 enabling radiative cooling. This setup supports a minimum near 5–7°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around those values. Key differentiators include minor variations in predicted low-level wind speeds, dew point depression, and residual cloud cover that could limit or enhance cooling below the seasonal average low of roughly 9°C. Clearer conditions favor the lower end of the range, while any increase in moisture or mixing would push readings toward 8°C or higher. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$461Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from models like GFS and regional synoptic guidance point to northwest winds advecting cooler air into Moscow, with partial clearing overnight on September 7–8 enabling radiative cooling. This setup supports a minimum near 5–7°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around those values. Key differentiators include minor variations in predicted low-level wind speeds, dew point depression, and residual cloud cover that could limit or enhance cooling below the seasonal average low of roughly 9°C. Clearer conditions favor the lower end of the range, while any increase in moisture or mixing would push readings toward 8°C or higher. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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