Trader consensus around a 19°C low for Seoul-Incheon on September 21 stems from consistent official forecasts under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds promoting moderate radiative cooling overnight. Korea Meteorological Administration and international models align on minimum temperatures near 18–19°C after daytime highs reached 29°C, matching typical late-September climatology without strong cold-air advection. This positioning reflects high model agreement and observed trends through evening hours. A realistic shift below 19°C would require increased cloud cover or a wind reversal introducing warmer marine air, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 21?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below 1.2%
15°C 1.0%
16°C <1%
$8,919 Обс.
$8,919 Обс.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below 1.2%
15°C 1.0%
16°C <1%
$8,919 Обс.
$8,919 Обс.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around a 19°C low for Seoul-Incheon on September 21 stems from consistent official forecasts under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds promoting moderate radiative cooling overnight. Korea Meteorological Administration and international models align on minimum temperatures near 18–19°C after daytime highs reached 29°C, matching typical late-September climatology without strong cold-air advection. This positioning reflects high model agreement and observed trends through evening hours. A realistic shift below 19°C would require increased cloud cover or a wind reversal introducing warmer marine air, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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