Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 21–23 °C on September 21, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity supporting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–31 °C. This keeps 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a degree. September climatology favors lows in this range, with recent stable high-pressure conditions reducing variability compared with earlier unsettled periods. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 20 will refine whether the minimum settles closer to 22 °C or 23 °C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
22°C 45%
23°C 43%
21°C 10%
24°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
10%
22°C
45%
23°C
43%
24°C
8%
25°C
7%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 45%
23°C 43%
21°C 10%
24°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
$6 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$0 Обс.
2%
19°C
$0 Обс.
3%
20°C
$153 Обс.
7%
21°C
$157 Обс.
10%
22°C
$38 Обс.
45%
23°C
$399 Обс.
43%
24°C
$14 Обс.
8%
25°C
$0 Обс.
7%
26°C
$0 Обс.
8%
27°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 21–23 °C on September 21, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity supporting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–31 °C. This keeps 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a degree. September climatology favors lows in this range, with recent stable high-pressure conditions reducing variability compared with earlier unsettled periods. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 20 will refine whether the minimum settles closer to 22 °C or 23 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$768Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 21–23 °C on September 21, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity supporting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–31 °C. This keeps 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a degree. September climatology favors lows in this range, with recent stable high-pressure conditions reducing variability compared with earlier unsettled periods. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 20 will refine whether the minimum settles closer to 22 °C or 23 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$768Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 21–23 °C on September 21, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity supporting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–31 °C. This keeps 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a degree. September climatology favors lows in this range, with recent stable high-pressure conditions reducing variability compared with earlier unsettled periods. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 20 will refine whether the minimum settles closer to 22 °C or 23 °C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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