Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal cooling while sea breezes moderate daytime highs around 30–31°C. This places the expected low close to the September climatological average of roughly 23–24°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 18°C or below and 28°C or higher because short-range model runs show minor sensitivity to exact wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture, with traders assigning weight to potential deviations outside the consensus range. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
18°C or below 90%
28°C or higher 86%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
90%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C
11%
23°C
21%
24°C
36%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
19%
28°C or higher
86%
18°C or below 90%
28°C or higher 86%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Обс.
90%
19°C
$0 Обс.
19%
20°C
$0 Обс.
20%
21°C
$0 Обс.
20%
22°C
$0 Обс.
11%
23°C
$0 Обс.
21%
24°C
$0 Обс.
36%
25°C
$0 Обс.
40%
26°C
$0 Обс.
39%
27°C
$0 Обс.
19%
28°C or higher
$0 Обс.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal cooling while sea breezes moderate daytime highs around 30–31°C. This places the expected low close to the September climatological average of roughly 23–24°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 18°C or below and 28°C or higher because short-range model runs show minor sensitivity to exact wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture, with traders assigning weight to potential deviations outside the consensus range. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal cooling while sea breezes moderate daytime highs around 30–31°C. This places the expected low close to the September climatological average of roughly 23–24°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 18°C or below and 28°C or higher because short-range model runs show minor sensitivity to exact wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture, with traders assigning weight to potential deviations outside the consensus range. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal cooling while sea breezes moderate daytime highs around 30–31°C. This places the expected low close to the September climatological average of roughly 23–24°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 18°C or below and 28°C or higher because short-range model runs show minor sensitivity to exact wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture, with traders assigning weight to potential deviations outside the consensus range. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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