Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with northwest winds of 5-10 mph and limited cloud cover, supporting a daytime maximum near 31-32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical highs range 29-32°C absent heatwaves or strong southerly flow. Multiple sources show hourly peaks clustering around 30-31°C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions expected to push values higher. This consensus underpins the market's strong preference for 32°C as the leading outcome, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or wind shifts could favor 33°C if observed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
32°C 75%
31°C 15%
33°C 11%
30°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C
75%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 75%
31°C 15%
33°C 11%
30°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
$665 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$373 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$279 Обс.
2%
31°C
$931 Обс.
15%
32°C
$1,055 Обс.
75%
33°C
$1,023 Обс.
11%
34°C
$390 Обс.
2%
35°C
$576 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$379 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$230 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$230 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with northwest winds of 5-10 mph and limited cloud cover, supporting a daytime maximum near 31-32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical highs range 29-32°C absent heatwaves or strong southerly flow. Multiple sources show hourly peaks clustering around 30-31°C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions expected to push values higher. This consensus underpins the market's strong preference for 32°C as the leading outcome, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or wind shifts could favor 33°C if observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,130Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with northwest winds of 5-10 mph and limited cloud cover, supporting a daytime maximum near 31-32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical highs range 29-32°C absent heatwaves or strong southerly flow. Multiple sources show hourly peaks clustering around 30-31°C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions expected to push values higher. This consensus underpins the market's strong preference for 32°C as the leading outcome, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or wind shifts could favor 33°C if observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,130Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with northwest winds of 5-10 mph and limited cloud cover, supporting a daytime maximum near 31-32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical highs range 29-32°C absent heatwaves or strong southerly flow. Multiple sources show hourly peaks clustering around 30-31°C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions expected to push values higher. This consensus underpins the market's strong preference for 32°C as the leading outcome, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or wind shifts could favor 33°C if observed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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