**Trader consensus strongly favors a 19°C low in Tokyo on September 10, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global models like GFS, project overnight temperatures stabilizing near 19°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow that limits radiational cooling. Recent observations show similar minimums of 19–22°C in early September under comparable conditions, with dew points near 18–19°C supporting this narrow range. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo station reading; minor deviations from urban heat island effects or timing of precipitation could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, though current model agreement and real-time data make outcomes below 18°C or above 20°C highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
19°C 95%
18°C 4%
17°C 2%
14°C or below <1%
$11,536 Обс.
$11,536 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
95%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 95%
18°C 4%
17°C 2%
14°C or below <1%
$11,536 Обс.
$11,536 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
$94 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$732 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$2,598 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$670 Обс.
2%
18°C
$788 Обс.
4%
19°C
$2,252 Обс.
95%
20°C
$2,424 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$1,098 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$316 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$323 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$241 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 19°C low in Tokyo on September 10, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global models like GFS, project overnight temperatures stabilizing near 19°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow that limits radiational cooling. Recent observations show similar minimums of 19–22°C in early September under comparable conditions, with dew points near 18–19°C supporting this narrow range. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo station reading; minor deviations from urban heat island effects or timing of precipitation could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, though current model agreement and real-time data make outcomes below 18°C or above 20°C highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,536Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 19°C low in Tokyo on September 10, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global models like GFS, project overnight temperatures stabilizing near 19°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow that limits radiational cooling. Recent observations show similar minimums of 19–22°C in early September under comparable conditions, with dew points near 18–19°C supporting this narrow range. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo station reading; minor deviations from urban heat island effects or timing of precipitation could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, though current model agreement and real-time data make outcomes below 18°C or above 20°C highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,536Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 19°C low in Tokyo on September 10, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global models like GFS, project overnight temperatures stabilizing near 19°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow that limits radiational cooling. Recent observations show similar minimums of 19–22°C in early September under comparable conditions, with dew points near 18–19°C supporting this narrow range. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo station reading; minor deviations from urban heat island effects or timing of precipitation could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, though current model agreement and real-time data make outcomes below 18°C or above 20°C highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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