**Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum temperature in Warsaw around 10–12°C on September 7, driven by a building high-pressure system, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling without an influx of significantly colder air.** This atmospheric setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 9–10°C, and recent observations show a gradual cooling trend from the mid-teens earlier in the week. Trader-implied odds placing notable weight on 5°C or below likely reflect lingering ensemble spread in longer-range guidance or positioning ahead of final forecast updates, while the clustering around 10°C outcomes captures the current consensus on minimum thresholds. Key resolution factors include the precise timing of the daily low and any last-minute model adjustments from official monitoring agencies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 7?
5°C or below 100%
6°C 49%
7°C 49%
8°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
5°C or below
100%
6°C
49%
7°C
49%
8°C
49%
9°C
49%
10°C
33%
11°C
32%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C or higher
2%
5°C or below 100%
6°C 49%
7°C 49%
8°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
6°C
$0 Обс.
49%
7°C
$0 Обс.
49%
8°C
$0 Обс.
49%
9°C
$0 Обс.
49%
10°C
$0 Обс.
33%
11°C
$0 Обс.
32%
12°C
$0 Обс.
49%
13°C
$0 Обс.
49%
14°C
$0 Обс.
49%
15°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum temperature in Warsaw around 10–12°C on September 7, driven by a building high-pressure system, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling without an influx of significantly colder air.**
This atmospheric setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 9–10°C, and recent observations show a gradual cooling trend from the mid-teens earlier in the week. Trader-implied odds placing notable weight on 5°C or below likely reflect lingering ensemble spread in longer-range guidance or positioning ahead of final forecast updates, while the clustering around 10°C outcomes captures the current consensus on minimum thresholds. Key resolution factors include the precise timing of the daily low and any last-minute model adjustments from official monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum temperature in Warsaw around 10–12°C on September 7, driven by a building high-pressure system, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling without an influx of significantly colder air.**
This atmospheric setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 9–10°C, and recent observations show a gradual cooling trend from the mid-teens earlier in the week. Trader-implied odds placing notable weight on 5°C or below likely reflect lingering ensemble spread in longer-range guidance or positioning ahead of final forecast updates, while the clustering around 10°C outcomes captures the current consensus on minimum thresholds. Key resolution factors include the precise timing of the daily low and any last-minute model adjustments from official monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum temperature in Warsaw around 10–12°C on September 7, driven by a building high-pressure system, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling without an influx of significantly colder air.** This atmospheric setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 9–10°C, and recent observations show a gradual cooling trend from the mid-teens earlier in the week. Trader-implied odds placing notable weight on 5°C or below likely reflect lingering ensemble spread in longer-range guidance or positioning ahead of final forecast updates, while the clustering around 10°C outcomes captures the current consensus on minimum thresholds. Key resolution factors include the precise timing of the daily low and any last-minute model adjustments from official monitoring agencies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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