Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the Iran conflict have elevated energy prices, driving gasoline costs sharply higher and pushing trader consensus toward a 0.5–0.6% month-over-month headline CPI print for May. The April CPI release, which exceeded expectations amid similar fuel and grocery pressures, has reinforced this range, with market-implied odds reflecting a closely balanced view between those two outcomes at roughly 36% and 35.5%. Persistent supply shocks and elevated commodity benchmarks continue to outweigh softening shelter and used-vehicle trends, while upcoming May PPI data and Federal Reserve communications could shift the distribution if core components show broader pass-through. Traders are pricing in this uncertainty as a key swing factor ahead of the June release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.6% 42%
0.5% 36%
0.4% 14%
0.3% 9.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
5%
0.3%
12%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
36%
0.6%
38%
0.7%
9%
0.8%
4%
≥0.9%
7%
0.6% 42%
0.5% 36%
0.4% 14%
0.3% 9.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
$55 Обс.
4%
0.2%
$53 Обс.
5%
0.3%
$399 Обс.
12%
0.4%
$535 Обс.
14%
0.5%
$29 Обс.
36%
0.6%
$268 Обс.
38%
0.7%
$27 Обс.
9%
0.8%
$78 Обс.
4%
≥0.9%
$100 Обс.
7%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the Iran conflict have elevated energy prices, driving gasoline costs sharply higher and pushing trader consensus toward a 0.5–0.6% month-over-month headline CPI print for May. The April CPI release, which exceeded expectations amid similar fuel and grocery pressures, has reinforced this range, with market-implied odds reflecting a closely balanced view between those two outcomes at roughly 36% and 35.5%. Persistent supply shocks and elevated commodity benchmarks continue to outweigh softening shelter and used-vehicle trends, while upcoming May PPI data and Federal Reserve communications could shift the distribution if core components show broader pass-through. Traders are pricing in this uncertainty as a key swing factor ahead of the June release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,543Дата завершення
Jun 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the Iran conflict have elevated energy prices, driving gasoline costs sharply higher and pushing trader consensus toward a 0.5–0.6% month-over-month headline CPI print for May. The April CPI release, which exceeded expectations amid similar fuel and grocery pressures, has reinforced this range, with market-implied odds reflecting a closely balanced view between those two outcomes at roughly 36% and 35.5%. Persistent supply shocks and elevated commodity benchmarks continue to outweigh softening shelter and used-vehicle trends, while upcoming May PPI data and Federal Reserve communications could shift the distribution if core components show broader pass-through. Traders are pricing in this uncertainty as a key swing factor ahead of the June release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$1,543Дата завершення
Jun 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the Iran conflict have elevated energy prices, driving gasoline costs sharply higher and pushing trader consensus toward a 0.5–0.6% month-over-month headline CPI print for May. The April CPI release, which exceeded expectations amid similar fuel and grocery pressures, has reinforced this range, with market-implied odds reflecting a closely balanced view between those two outcomes at roughly 36% and 35.5%. Persistent supply shocks and elevated commodity benchmarks continue to outweigh softening shelter and used-vehicle trends, while upcoming May PPI data and Federal Reserve communications could shift the distribution if core components show broader pass-through. Traders are pricing in this uncertainty as a key swing factor ahead of the June release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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