Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for former Prince Andrew being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges three months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. UK police questioned Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—previously stripped of royal titles by King Charles over Epstein ties—for allegedly sharing confidential trade envoy documents with Jeffrey Epstein, but released him after 11 hours under ongoing investigation without indictment. No trial date is set, and experts highlight lengthy procedural hurdles including evidence review from Epstein files, with no major updates in the past 30 days amid recent personal threats near his Norfolk home. A conviction carrying potential life imprisonment remains distant before any 2026 resolution deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$209,728 Обс.
$209,728 Обс.
$209,728 Обс.
$209,728 Обс.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for former Prince Andrew being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges three months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. UK police questioned Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—previously stripped of royal titles by King Charles over Epstein ties—for allegedly sharing confidential trade envoy documents with Jeffrey Epstein, but released him after 11 hours under ongoing investigation without indictment. No trial date is set, and experts highlight lengthy procedural hurdles including evidence review from Epstein files, with no major updates in the past 30 days amid recent personal threats near his Norfolk home. A conviction carrying potential life imprisonment remains distant before any 2026 resolution deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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