**Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor faces an active Thames Valley Police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to Epstein-related disclosures, but remains uncharged more than nine months after his February 2026 arrest and release under investigation.** The offense carries a theoretical life maximum yet demands a high evidentiary threshold rarely met in comparable senior-official cases, and historical patterns show limited prosecutions or custodial outcomes for such figures. With only weeks remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, the absence of formal charges or court proceedings underpins the 98% trader consensus on No. Realistic paths to Yes would require rapid charging, trial, conviction, and sentencing within the narrow window—developments that face substantial procedural and evidentiary barriers.