Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew) was arrested in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to alleged sharing of confidential information with Jeffrey Epstein during his time as a UK trade envoy, but he was released under investigation after roughly 11 hours with no charges filed. Thames Valley Police and the Crown Prosecution Service have continued assessing evidence, including expanded inquiries into sexual misconduct claims, yet more than six months later the case remains at the investigative stage without a decision to prosecute. Misconduct in public office carries a theoretical maximum life sentence but faces a high evidentiary threshold, infrequent successful prosecutions, and additional procedural complexities when involving senior royals. Traders assign the “No” outcome 98.2% probability because charging decisions, trials, and any eventual sentencing remain distant and uncertain contingencies, though formal charges or new evidence referrals could still shift the timeline within the market’s resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2% шанс
$221,968 Обс.
$221,968 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
2% шанс
$221,968 Обс.
$221,968 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew) was arrested in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to alleged sharing of confidential information with Jeffrey Epstein during his time as a UK trade envoy, but he was released under investigation after roughly 11 hours with no charges filed. Thames Valley Police and the Crown Prosecution Service have continued assessing evidence, including expanded inquiries into sexual misconduct claims, yet more than six months later the case remains at the investigative stage without a decision to prosecute. Misconduct in public office carries a theoretical maximum life sentence but faces a high evidentiary threshold, infrequent successful prosecutions, and additional procedural complexities when involving senior royals. Traders assign the “No” outcome 98.2% probability because charging decisions, trials, and any eventual sentencing remain distant and uncertain contingencies, though formal charges or new evidence referrals could still shift the timeline within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Обсяг
$221,968Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew) was arrested in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to alleged sharing of confidential information with Jeffrey Epstein during his time as a UK trade envoy, but he was released under investigation after roughly 11 hours with no charges filed. Thames Valley Police and the Crown Prosecution Service have continued assessing evidence, including expanded inquiries into sexual misconduct claims, yet more than six months later the case remains at the investigative stage without a decision to prosecute. Misconduct in public office carries a theoretical maximum life sentence but faces a high evidentiary threshold, infrequent successful prosecutions, and additional procedural complexities when involving senior royals. Traders assign the “No” outcome 98.2% probability because charging decisions, trials, and any eventual sentencing remain distant and uncertain contingencies, though formal charges or new evidence referrals could still shift the timeline within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$221,968Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew) was arrested in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to alleged sharing of confidential information with Jeffrey Epstein during his time as a UK trade envoy, but he was released under investigation after roughly 11 hours with no charges filed. Thames Valley Police and the Crown Prosecution Service have continued assessing evidence, including expanded inquiries into sexual misconduct claims, yet more than six months later the case remains at the investigative stage without a decision to prosecute. Misconduct in public office carries a theoretical maximum life sentence but faces a high evidentiary threshold, infrequent successful prosecutions, and additional procedural complexities when involving senior royals. Traders assign the “No” outcome 98.2% probability because charging decisions, trials, and any eventual sentencing remain distant and uncertain contingencies, though formal charges or new evidence referrals could still shift the timeline within the market’s resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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