The unanimous Senate resolution passed on July 29, 2026, opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations against executive action by the end of 2026. Bipartisan agreement, including from Republican members, highlights the political risks tied to Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking minors connected to Jeffrey Epstein. President Trump has stated he has not ruled out reviewing the case or consulting the Department of Justice but has described the matter as one he has not actively considered. Maxwell’s legal team has signaled continued pursuit of clemency, yet recent confirmation dynamics around Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche and survivor advocacy have sustained pressure against leniency. These factors align with the 93.5% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
7% шанс
$744,858 Обс.
$744,858 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Так
7% шанс
$744,858 Обс.
$744,858 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The unanimous Senate resolution passed on July 29, 2026, opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations against executive action by the end of 2026. Bipartisan agreement, including from Republican members, highlights the political risks tied to Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking minors connected to Jeffrey Epstein. President Trump has stated he has not ruled out reviewing the case or consulting the Department of Justice but has described the matter as one he has not actively considered. Maxwell’s legal team has signaled continued pursuit of clemency, yet recent confirmation dynamics around Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche and survivor advocacy have sustained pressure against leniency. These factors align with the 93.5% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Обсяг
$744,858Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The unanimous Senate resolution passed on July 29, 2026, opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations against executive action by the end of 2026. Bipartisan agreement, including from Republican members, highlights the political risks tied to Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking minors connected to Jeffrey Epstein. President Trump has stated he has not ruled out reviewing the case or consulting the Department of Justice but has described the matter as one he has not actively considered. Maxwell’s legal team has signaled continued pursuit of clemency, yet recent confirmation dynamics around Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche and survivor advocacy have sustained pressure against leniency. These factors align with the 93.5% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$744,858Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...The unanimous Senate resolution passed on July 29, 2026, opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations against executive action by the end of 2026. Bipartisan agreement, including from Republican members, highlights the political risks tied to Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking minors connected to Jeffrey Epstein. President Trump has stated he has not ruled out reviewing the case or consulting the Department of Justice but has described the matter as one he has not actively considered. Maxwell’s legal team has signaled continued pursuit of clemency, yet recent confirmation dynamics around Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche and survivor advocacy have sustained pressure against leniency. These factors align with the 93.5% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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