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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

icon for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$419,721 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$419,721 Обс.

Polymarket

Ryan Salame

$29,521 Обс.

47%

Daniel Penny

$447 Обс.

22%

Matt Gaetz

$3,870 Обс.

21%

Steve Bannon

$7,813 Обс.

17%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,190 Обс.

17%

Stefan Brodie

$2,320 Обс.

14%

Donald Brodie

$1,195 Обс.

14%

Roger Stone

$3,489 Обс.

13%

Roger Ver

$1,234 Обс.

10%

Joe Exotic

$5,364 Обс.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,058 Обс.

9%

Martin Shkreli

$29,664 Обс.

7%

Julian Assange

$3,037 Обс.

6%

Bob Menendez

$245 Обс.

6%

Nicolas Maduro

$9,491 Обс.

6%

Diddy

$25,473 Обс.

6%

Young Thug

$4,366 Обс.

6%

Himself

$12,557 Обс.

5%

Derek Chauvin

$19,451 Обс.

5%

Andrew Tate

$236 Обс.

5%

Edward Snowden

$3,163 Обс.

5%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,547 Обс.

4%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$128,560 Обс.

4%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,162 Обс.

4%

Do Kwon

$23,580 Обс.

4%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Обс.

3%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Обс.

2%

Antoine Massey

$2,289 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's constitutional pardon authority for federal offenses has already driven extensive clemency actions in his second term, including a January 2025 blanket pardon covering roughly 1,500 January 6 Capitol defendants and a November 2025 proclamation for 77 individuals tied to 2020 election challenges. Subsequent grants through mid-2026 have included white-collar cases, political allies, and commutations, exceeding prior-term totals in volume. Trader focus centers on remaining candidates such as high-profile figures from crypto, business, or prior legal matters, with momentum tied to administration priorities on reversing select prosecutions. Key variables include ongoing White House announcements, Senate dynamics on related legislation, and any new indictments or appeals that could expand the pool of eligible recipients before the 2027 cutoff. Historical patterns show pardons often cluster around allies and symbolic cases rather than uniform application.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$419,721
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's constitutional pardon authority for federal offenses has already driven extensive clemency actions in his second term, including a January 2025 blanket pardon covering roughly 1,500 January 6 Capitol defendants and a November 2025 proclamation for 77 individuals tied to 2020 election challenges. Subsequent grants through mid-2026 have included white-collar cases, political allies, and commutations, exceeding prior-term totals in volume. Trader focus centers on remaining candidates such as high-profile figures from crypto, business, or prior legal matters, with momentum tied to administration priorities on reversing select prosecutions. Key variables include ongoing White House announcements, Senate dynamics on related legislation, and any new indictments or appeals that could expand the pool of eligible recipients before the 2027 cutoff. Historical patterns show pardons often cluster around allies and symbolic cases rather than uniform application.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$419,721
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will Trump pardon before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 28 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ryan Salame» з 47%, далі «Daniel Penny» з 22%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Who will Trump pardon before 2027?» згенерував $419.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 18, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will Trump pardon before 2027?», перегляньте 28 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will Trump pardon before 2027?» — «Ryan Salame» з 47%. Наступний — «Daniel Penny» з 22%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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