President Donald Trump's ongoing pursuit of his policy priorities and recent remarks alluding to possible extended service have sustained trader consensus that resignation before 2027 remains improbable. Speculation from figures such as Democratic strategist James Carville about departure following potential 2026 midterm losses has produced no measurable shift in pricing, given the absence of Republican support for impeachment or 25th Amendment proceedings and the high thresholds required for removal. No verified health concerns, official statements, or legal developments point toward voluntary exit, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent acute crises. The November 2026 midterms stand as the nearest scheduled political event, yet they leave intact the current implied probability of full-term service.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$17,431 Обс.
$17,431 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$17,431 Обс.
$17,431 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's ongoing pursuit of his policy priorities and recent remarks alluding to possible extended service have sustained trader consensus that resignation before 2027 remains improbable. Speculation from figures such as Democratic strategist James Carville about departure following potential 2026 midterm losses has produced no measurable shift in pricing, given the absence of Republican support for impeachment or 25th Amendment proceedings and the high thresholds required for removal. No verified health concerns, official statements, or legal developments point toward voluntary exit, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent acute crises. The November 2026 midterms stand as the nearest scheduled political event, yet they leave intact the current implied probability of full-term service.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$17,431Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's ongoing pursuit of his policy priorities and recent remarks alluding to possible extended service have sustained trader consensus that resignation before 2027 remains improbable. Speculation from figures such as Democratic strategist James Carville about departure following potential 2026 midterm losses has produced no measurable shift in pricing, given the absence of Republican support for impeachment or 25th Amendment proceedings and the high thresholds required for removal. No verified health concerns, official statements, or legal developments point toward voluntary exit, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent acute crises. The November 2026 midterms stand as the nearest scheduled political event, yet they leave intact the current implied probability of full-term service.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$17,431Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's ongoing pursuit of his policy priorities and recent remarks alluding to possible extended service have sustained trader consensus that resignation before 2027 remains improbable. Speculation from figures such as Democratic strategist James Carville about departure following potential 2026 midterm losses has produced no measurable shift in pricing, given the absence of Republican support for impeachment or 25th Amendment proceedings and the high thresholds required for removal. No verified health concerns, official statements, or legal developments point toward voluntary exit, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent acute crises. The November 2026 midterms stand as the nearest scheduled political event, yet they leave intact the current implied probability of full-term service.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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