Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, often exceeding 18 posts daily on average in prior periods and including bursts of dozens within hours, underpins the wide distribution of trader probabilities across weekly ranges. Recent developments, including the early-August launch of the paid Truth API service for faster post access and ongoing policy announcements on tariffs and international affairs, have sustained platform engagement without clear signs of reduced output. With the president scheduled for executive time and policy meetings at Bedminster through mid-August, the spread between the leading 200+ outcome and mid-range bins reflects uncertainty over whether routine news cycles or specific events will trigger consolidation above or below historical baselines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено200+ 30%
160-179 19%
140-159 17%
180-199 17%
НОВЕ
$12,424 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,424 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
7%
100-119
8%
120-139
9%
140-159
17%
160-179
19%
180-199
17%
200+
30%
200+ 30%
160-179 19%
140-159 17%
180-199 17%
НОВЕ
$12,424 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,424 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
<20
$2,529 Обс.
<1%
20-39
$507 Обс.
<1%
40-59
$759 Обс.
<1%
60-79
$334 Обс.
<1%
80-99
$1,359 Обс.
7%
100-119
$1,172 Обс.
8%
120-139
$520 Обс.
9%
140-159
$1,114 Обс.
17%
160-179
$1,287 Обс.
19%
180-199
$1,184 Обс.
17%
200+
$1,659 Обс.
30%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, often exceeding 18 posts daily on average in prior periods and including bursts of dozens within hours, underpins the wide distribution of trader probabilities across weekly ranges. Recent developments, including the early-August launch of the paid Truth API service for faster post access and ongoing policy announcements on tariffs and international affairs, have sustained platform engagement without clear signs of reduced output. With the president scheduled for executive time and policy meetings at Bedminster through mid-August, the spread between the leading 200+ outcome and mid-range bins reflects uncertainty over whether routine news cycles or specific events will trigger consolidation above or below historical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,424Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, often exceeding 18 posts daily on average in prior periods and including bursts of dozens within hours, underpins the wide distribution of trader probabilities across weekly ranges. Recent developments, including the early-August launch of the paid Truth API service for faster post access and ongoing policy announcements on tariffs and international affairs, have sustained platform engagement without clear signs of reduced output. With the president scheduled for executive time and policy meetings at Bedminster through mid-August, the spread between the leading 200+ outcome and mid-range bins reflects uncertainty over whether routine news cycles or specific events will trigger consolidation above or below historical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$12,424Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, often exceeding 18 posts daily on average in prior periods and including bursts of dozens within hours, underpins the wide distribution of trader probabilities across weekly ranges. Recent developments, including the early-August launch of the paid Truth API service for faster post access and ongoing policy announcements on tariffs and international affairs, have sustained platform engagement without clear signs of reduced output. With the president scheduled for executive time and policy meetings at Bedminster through mid-August, the spread between the leading 200+ outcome and mid-range bins reflects uncertainty over whether routine news cycles or specific events will trigger consolidation above or below historical baselines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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