**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Khamenei posts (August 18–25, 2026) strongly favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account, with that bucket at 63%.** The next range (5–9) sits at 28.5%, while all higher buckets remain under 11% combined. This distribution reflects the account’s established pattern of low-volume activity. The primary driver is the account’s role as an official channel for statements and historical quotes from the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, now managed by institutional teams following his death. Recent posts show clusters tied to religious observances such as Arbaeen, with only a handful of entries in early-to-mid August 2026 and longer gaps otherwise. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the immediate window are expected to trigger a surge in output. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with this baseline frequency: the account functions more as an archival and thematic outlet than a high-frequency personal feed. Traders appear to price in continuity of measured posting unless an unforeseen catalyst emerges within the resolution period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKhamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
<5 64%
5-9 28%
10-14 11%
15-19 2.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
<5
64%
5-9
28%
10-14
11%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
2%
30-34
2%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 64%
5-9 28%
10-14 11%
15-19 2.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
<5
$3,383 Обс.
64%
5-9
$1,044 Обс.
28%
10-14
$191 Обс.
11%
15-19
$13 Обс.
2%
20-24
$13 Обс.
1%
25-29
$13 Обс.
2%
30-34
$13 Обс.
2%
35-39
$13 Обс.
2%
40-44
$18 Обс.
1%
45-49
$18 Обс.
1%
50-54
$13 Обс.
1%
55-59
$13 Обс.
1%
60+
$13 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Khamenei posts (August 18–25, 2026) strongly favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account, with that bucket at 63%.** The next range (5–9) sits at 28.5%, while all higher buckets remain under 11% combined. This distribution reflects the account’s established pattern of low-volume activity.
The primary driver is the account’s role as an official channel for statements and historical quotes from the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, now managed by institutional teams following his death. Recent posts show clusters tied to religious observances such as Arbaeen, with only a handful of entries in early-to-mid August 2026 and longer gaps otherwise. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the immediate window are expected to trigger a surge in output.
The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with this baseline frequency: the account functions more as an archival and thematic outlet than a high-frequency personal feed. Traders appear to price in continuity of measured posting unless an unforeseen catalyst emerges within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,758Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Khamenei posts (August 18–25, 2026) strongly favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account, with that bucket at 63%.** The next range (5–9) sits at 28.5%, while all higher buckets remain under 11% combined. This distribution reflects the account’s established pattern of low-volume activity.
The primary driver is the account’s role as an official channel for statements and historical quotes from the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, now managed by institutional teams following his death. Recent posts show clusters tied to religious observances such as Arbaeen, with only a handful of entries in early-to-mid August 2026 and longer gaps otherwise. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the immediate window are expected to trigger a surge in output.
The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with this baseline frequency: the account functions more as an archival and thematic outlet than a high-frequency personal feed. Traders appear to price in continuity of measured posting unless an unforeseen catalyst emerges within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$4,758Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Khamenei posts (August 18–25, 2026) strongly favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account, with that bucket at 63%.** The next range (5–9) sits at 28.5%, while all higher buckets remain under 11% combined. This distribution reflects the account’s established pattern of low-volume activity. The primary driver is the account’s role as an official channel for statements and historical quotes from the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, now managed by institutional teams following his death. Recent posts show clusters tied to religious observances such as Arbaeen, with only a handful of entries in early-to-mid August 2026 and longer gaps otherwise. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the immediate window are expected to trigger a surge in output. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with this baseline frequency: the account functions more as an archival and thematic outlet than a high-frequency personal feed. Traders appear to price in continuity of measured posting unless an unforeseen catalyst emerges within the resolution period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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