Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93.8% on US acquisition of Greenland before 2027, driven by Denmark's unwavering refusal to relinquish sovereignty over its autonomous territory despite President Trump's aggressive diplomatic push since his 2025 inauguration. Recent high-level talks as of early May 2026 yielded White House optimism for expanded US military bases—potentially declared sovereign territory—to counter China and Russia in the Arctic, but fall far short of full purchase or annexation amid Greenlandic opposition (85% against) and international law barring forced territorial grabs from NATO allies. Trump's January 2026 rhetoric of securing it "the easy way or the hard way," envoy appointments like Jeff Landry's, and VP Vance's criticisms elicited Danish pushback and no sovereignty concessions, with procedural hurdles like parliamentary approval reinforcing the steep barriers to resolution by year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
$33,084,827 Обс.
$33,084,827 Обс.
Так
$33,084,827 Обс.
$33,084,827 Обс.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93.8% on US acquisition of Greenland before 2027, driven by Denmark's unwavering refusal to relinquish sovereignty over its autonomous territory despite President Trump's aggressive diplomatic push since his 2025 inauguration. Recent high-level talks as of early May 2026 yielded White House optimism for expanded US military bases—potentially declared sovereign territory—to counter China and Russia in the Arctic, but fall far short of full purchase or annexation amid Greenlandic opposition (85% against) and international law barring forced territorial grabs from NATO allies. Trump's January 2026 rhetoric of securing it "the easy way or the hard way," envoy appointments like Jeff Landry's, and VP Vance's criticisms elicited Danish pushback and no sovereignty concessions, with procedural hurdles like parliamentary approval reinforcing the steep barriers to resolution by year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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