Trump administration efforts since 2025 to pursue U.S. control of Greenland through purchase talks, special envoys, and initial tariff or military considerations have met sustained opposition from Danish and Greenlandic officials, who cite sovereignty, self-determination, and 85% local opposition to any transfer. NATO allies issued joint statements rejecting coercion, while Trump later ruled out force or tariffs following Davos discussions, shifting toward limited security frameworks without ownership change. As of mid-2026, no sovereignty agreement exists, and recent actions like Greenland blocking related drilling underscore ongoing barriers. The near-certain trader consensus on no acquisition before 2027 aligns with these diplomatic and procedural hurdles in the compressed timeline. Remote scenarios such as sudden Arctic security pacts or major policy reversals could still shift outcomes before the deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
4% шанс
$35,269,925 Обс.
$35,269,925 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Так
4% шанс
$35,269,925 Обс.
$35,269,925 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump administration efforts since 2025 to pursue U.S. control of Greenland through purchase talks, special envoys, and initial tariff or military considerations have met sustained opposition from Danish and Greenlandic officials, who cite sovereignty, self-determination, and 85% local opposition to any transfer. NATO allies issued joint statements rejecting coercion, while Trump later ruled out force or tariffs following Davos discussions, shifting toward limited security frameworks without ownership change. As of mid-2026, no sovereignty agreement exists, and recent actions like Greenland blocking related drilling underscore ongoing barriers. The near-certain trader consensus on no acquisition before 2027 aligns with these diplomatic and procedural hurdles in the compressed timeline. Remote scenarios such as sudden Arctic security pacts or major policy reversals could still shift outcomes before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$35,269,925Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump administration efforts since 2025 to pursue U.S. control of Greenland through purchase talks, special envoys, and initial tariff or military considerations have met sustained opposition from Danish and Greenlandic officials, who cite sovereignty, self-determination, and 85% local opposition to any transfer. NATO allies issued joint statements rejecting coercion, while Trump later ruled out force or tariffs following Davos discussions, shifting toward limited security frameworks without ownership change. As of mid-2026, no sovereignty agreement exists, and recent actions like Greenland blocking related drilling underscore ongoing barriers. The near-certain trader consensus on no acquisition before 2027 aligns with these diplomatic and procedural hurdles in the compressed timeline. Remote scenarios such as sudden Arctic security pacts or major policy reversals could still shift outcomes before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Обсяг
$35,269,925Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump administration efforts since 2025 to pursue U.S. control of Greenland through purchase talks, special envoys, and initial tariff or military considerations have met sustained opposition from Danish and Greenlandic officials, who cite sovereignty, self-determination, and 85% local opposition to any transfer. NATO allies issued joint statements rejecting coercion, while Trump later ruled out force or tariffs following Davos discussions, shifting toward limited security frameworks without ownership change. As of mid-2026, no sovereignty agreement exists, and recent actions like Greenland blocking related drilling underscore ongoing barriers. The near-certain trader consensus on no acquisition before 2027 aligns with these diplomatic and procedural hurdles in the compressed timeline. Remote scenarios such as sudden Arctic security pacts or major policy reversals could still shift outcomes before the deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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