President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections has anchored trader expectations for a snap vote before the December 2027 deadline. Ongoing student-led protests since 2024, demanding dissolution of the National Assembly amid questions over institutional legitimacy, have sustained pressure on the ruling Serbian Progressive Party. Vučić previously signaled an autumn 2026 timeline between late September and mid-November, consistent with constitutional requirements that elections follow dissolution within 45–60 days. These official statements, combined with the president’s history of calling snap polls to consolidate support ahead of scheduled terms, underpin the 78% implied probability for an election called before 2027.