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icon for Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

icon for Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

67% шанс
Polymarket

$39,174 Обс.

67% шанс
Polymarket

$39,174 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s repeated public statements have driven the 65.5% implied probability for a Serbian parliamentary election before 2027. In May 2026 he specified a window between late September and mid-November, following earlier signals from late 2025 and April 2026 that pointed to polls sometime in 2026. These comments coincide with more than a year of student-led protests demanding early voting and accountability, alongside coalition consultations and references to testing Serbian Progressive Party support ahead of the statutory December 2027 deadline. No formal dissolution decree has been issued as of mid-June 2026, leaving room for timing adjustments tied to protest dynamics or internal calculations, which traders appear to weigh against the consistent leadership signals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$39,174
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s repeated public statements have driven the 65.5% implied probability for a Serbian parliamentary election before 2027. In May 2026 he specified a window between late September and mid-November, following earlier signals from late 2025 and April 2026 that pointed to polls sometime in 2026. These comments coincide with more than a year of student-led protests demanding early voting and accountability, alongside coalition consultations and references to testing Serbian Progressive Party support ahead of the statutory December 2027 deadline. No formal dissolution decree has been issued as of mid-June 2026, leaving room for timing adjustments tied to protest dynamics or internal calculations, which traders appear to weigh against the consistent leadership signals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$39,174
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 67% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 67¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 67%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?» згенерував $39.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 12, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?» — 67% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 67% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.