Strong first-day gains of nearly 19% to around $161, fueled by record demand and AI infrastructure deals with Google and Anthropic, have created profit-taking incentives that slightly favor a second-day close below the June 12 level at 53.5% implied probability. Oversubscription, a fixed $135 pricing, and Musk's dominant voting control underscore sustained long-term bullish sentiment, yet typical post-IPO dynamics—including retail allocation flips and valuation scrutiny amid reported losses—introduce near-term volatility. Key swing factors include opening momentum on June 15 and any immediate analyst commentary or index inclusion signals, which could either extend the rally or accelerate modest retracement before broader adoption metrics emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
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This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.Strong first-day gains of nearly 19% to around $161, fueled by record demand and AI infrastructure deals with Google and Anthropic, have created profit-taking incentives that slightly favor a second-day close below the June 12 level at 53.5% implied probability. Oversubscription, a fixed $135 pricing, and Musk's dominant voting control underscore sustained long-term bullish sentiment, yet typical post-IPO dynamics—including retail allocation flips and valuation scrutiny amid reported losses—introduce near-term volatility. Key swing factors include opening momentum on June 15 and any immediate analyst commentary or index inclusion signals, which could either extend the rally or accelerate modest retracement before broader adoption metrics emerge.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 1:35 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,634Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 1:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.Strong first-day gains of nearly 19% to around $161, fueled by record demand and AI infrastructure deals with Google and Anthropic, have created profit-taking incentives that slightly favor a second-day close below the June 12 level at 53.5% implied probability. Oversubscription, a fixed $135 pricing, and Musk's dominant voting control underscore sustained long-term bullish sentiment, yet typical post-IPO dynamics—including retail allocation flips and valuation scrutiny amid reported losses—introduce near-term volatility. Key swing factors include opening momentum on June 15 and any immediate analyst commentary or index inclusion signals, which could either extend the rally or accelerate modest retracement before broader adoption metrics emerge.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Обсяг
$2,634Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 1:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong first-day gains of nearly 19% to around $161, fueled by record demand and AI infrastructure deals with Google and Anthropic, have created profit-taking incentives that slightly favor a second-day close below the June 12 level at 53.5% implied probability. Oversubscription, a fixed $135 pricing, and Musk's dominant voting control underscore sustained long-term bullish sentiment, yet typical post-IPO dynamics—including retail allocation flips and valuation scrutiny amid reported losses—introduce near-term volatility. Key swing factors include opening momentum on June 15 and any immediate analyst commentary or index inclusion signals, which could either extend the rally or accelerate modest retracement before broader adoption metrics emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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