Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend has established it as the biggest debut in box office history, surpassing Avengers: Endgame, which sets the stage for a robust sophomore frame. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and a standout Tuesday performance of $42 million—the largest ever—signal sustained audience interest and favorable holds. Industry tracking now points to a second-weekend gross in the $140-150 million range as the most probable outcome, reflecting a typical 55-65% drop from its unprecedented debut while still ranking among the highest second frames on record. Later catalysts like detailed Friday estimates and audience score updates could refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
140-150m 70%
150-160m 17%
130-140m 11.6%
<130m 3.1%
$41,783 Обс.
$41,783 Обс.
<130m
3%
130-140m
12%
140-150m
70%
150-160m
17%
160-170m
2%
170-180m
1%
180m+
1%
140-150m 70%
150-160m 17%
130-140m 11.6%
<130m 3.1%
$41,783 Обс.
$41,783 Обс.
<130m
3%
130-140m
12%
140-150m
70%
150-160m
17%
160-170m
2%
170-180m
1%
180m+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend has established it as the biggest debut in box office history, surpassing Avengers: Endgame, which sets the stage for a robust sophomore frame. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and a standout Tuesday performance of $42 million—the largest ever—signal sustained audience interest and favorable holds. Industry tracking now points to a second-weekend gross in the $140-150 million range as the most probable outcome, reflecting a typical 55-65% drop from its unprecedented debut while still ranking among the highest second frames on record. Later catalysts like detailed Friday estimates and audience score updates could refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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