The recent shutdown of OpenAI’s Sora app in March 2026 after just six months has weighed heavily on trader sentiment, reinforcing the 61.5% market-implied probability for “No.” Launched in late 2025 as an invite-only feed for AI-generated videos, Sora struggled with low engagement, deepfake safety issues, and user backlash before being discontinued, prompting OpenAI to refocus resources on enterprise tools and model development rather than consumer social features. Earlier 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype and biometric verification ideas briefly lifted Yes odds, yet no official announcements, timelines, or product launches have materialized since. With Sam Altman prioritizing large language model advances and ad integrations over platform expansion, traders see limited catalysts through year-end that could overcome these execution hurdles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$52,059 Обс.
$52,059 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$52,059 Обс.
$52,059 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The recent shutdown of OpenAI’s Sora app in March 2026 after just six months has weighed heavily on trader sentiment, reinforcing the 61.5% market-implied probability for “No.” Launched in late 2025 as an invite-only feed for AI-generated videos, Sora struggled with low engagement, deepfake safety issues, and user backlash before being discontinued, prompting OpenAI to refocus resources on enterprise tools and model development rather than consumer social features. Earlier 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype and biometric verification ideas briefly lifted Yes odds, yet no official announcements, timelines, or product launches have materialized since. With Sam Altman prioritizing large language model advances and ad integrations over platform expansion, traders see limited catalysts through year-end that could overcome these execution hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Обсяг
$52,059Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The recent shutdown of OpenAI’s Sora app in March 2026 after just six months has weighed heavily on trader sentiment, reinforcing the 61.5% market-implied probability for “No.” Launched in late 2025 as an invite-only feed for AI-generated videos, Sora struggled with low engagement, deepfake safety issues, and user backlash before being discontinued, prompting OpenAI to refocus resources on enterprise tools and model development rather than consumer social features. Earlier 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype and biometric verification ideas briefly lifted Yes odds, yet no official announcements, timelines, or product launches have materialized since. With Sam Altman prioritizing large language model advances and ad integrations over platform expansion, traders see limited catalysts through year-end that could overcome these execution hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$52,059Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent shutdown of OpenAI’s Sora app in March 2026 after just six months has weighed heavily on trader sentiment, reinforcing the 61.5% market-implied probability for “No.” Launched in late 2025 as an invite-only feed for AI-generated videos, Sora struggled with low engagement, deepfake safety issues, and user backlash before being discontinued, prompting OpenAI to refocus resources on enterprise tools and model development rather than consumer social features. Earlier 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype and biometric verification ideas briefly lifted Yes odds, yet no official announcements, timelines, or product launches have materialized since. With Sam Altman prioritizing large language model advances and ad integrations over platform expansion, traders see limited catalysts through year-end that could overcome these execution hurdles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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