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Технологія·Big Tech

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

icon for Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Технологія·Big Tech

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Jun 30

Jun 30

26% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
26% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI. Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Sam Altman securing OpenAI equity by June 30 remains evenly split at 50% "Yes," reflecting OpenAI's aggressive for-profit restructuring and 2026 IPO ambitions that could necessitate CEO alignment incentives, balanced against escalating governance scrutiny. Recent catalysts include Altman's testimony this week in the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial—where co-founder Greg Brockman disclosed a $30 billion personal stake and financial ties to Altman—and probes by six state attorneys general into alleged conflicts, such as OpenAI investments benefiting Altman's $2 billion in external stakes like Helion Energy. No equity grant has materialized despite past board discussions, leaving odds vulnerable to trial revelations, IPO timeline updates from CFO Sarah Friar, or pre-deadline compensation announcements that could decisively tip the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.

Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$4,908
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI. Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI. Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Sam Altman securing OpenAI equity by June 30 remains evenly split at 50% "Yes," reflecting OpenAI's aggressive for-profit restructuring and 2026 IPO ambitions that could necessitate CEO alignment incentives, balanced against escalating governance scrutiny. Recent catalysts include Altman's testimony this week in the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial—where co-founder Greg Brockman disclosed a $30 billion personal stake and financial ties to Altman—and probes by six state attorneys general into alleged conflicts, such as OpenAI investments benefiting Altman's $2 billion in external stakes like Helion Energy. No equity grant has materialized despite past board discussions, leaving odds vulnerable to trial revelations, IPO timeline updates from CFO Sarah Friar, or pre-deadline compensation announcements that could decisively tip the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.

Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$4,908
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI. Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 26% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 26¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 26%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Nov 12, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?» — 26% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 26% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.