Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best Coding AI model end of June?
Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.3%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$54,595 Обс.
$54,595 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
95%
OpenAI
4%
Z.ai
1%
<1%
xAI
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.3%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$54,595 Обс.
$54,595 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$8,180 Обс.
95%
OpenAI
$6,751 Обс.
4%
Z.ai
$6,006 Обс.
1%
$5,421 Обс.
<1%
xAI
$6,210 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$2,839 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$4,353 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$4,457 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$4,524 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,844 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$747 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$868 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$894 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$633 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$870 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$54,595Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Обсяг
$54,595Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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