Ukrainian forces have conducted repeated precision strikes on Russian positions in Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, including airstrikes on assault bases, ammunition depots, and command posts using jets and drones through July and August 2026. These operations reflect ongoing efforts to disrupt Russian logistics and footholds in contested frontline settlements amid broader fighting in southern sectors. Russian attempts to consolidate control have faced Ukrainian defensive actions and counterstrikes, with limited verified territorial shifts reported in open-source assessments. Trader assessments of re-entry prospects by late September hinge on Ukrainian operational tempo, Russian reinforcement patterns, and any localized advances tracked via maps such as those from the Institute for the Study of War, within a wider context of sustained attrition and targeted Ukrainian strikes on enemy infrastructure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?
$84,923 Обс.
September 30
23%
$84,923 Обс.
September 30
23%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 9:43 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have conducted repeated precision strikes on Russian positions in Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, including airstrikes on assault bases, ammunition depots, and command posts using jets and drones through July and August 2026. These operations reflect ongoing efforts to disrupt Russian logistics and footholds in contested frontline settlements amid broader fighting in southern sectors. Russian attempts to consolidate control have faced Ukrainian defensive actions and counterstrikes, with limited verified territorial shifts reported in open-source assessments. Trader assessments of re-entry prospects by late September hinge on Ukrainian operational tempo, Russian reinforcement patterns, and any localized advances tracked via maps such as those from the Institute for the Study of War, within a wider context of sustained attrition and targeted Ukrainian strikes on enemy infrastructure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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