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AS прогнози та шанси

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

1%

$639K Обс.

$492K today

$30.2K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

100%

June 30

$5M Обс.

$233K today

$323K Liq.

103

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

1%

$1M Обс.

$128K today

$613K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$2M Обс.

$101K today

$212K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

2%

$5M Обс.

$397K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

18%

December 31, 2026

$159K Обс.

$30.8K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M Обс.

$208K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

12%

$8M Обс.

$666K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

97%

May 15–22

$97.3K Обс.

$61.2K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

50%

No Announcement by June 30

$711K Обс.

$200K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC

45%

AS Monaco FC

$9.8K Обс.

$2M Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

100%

June 30

$79.6K Обс.

$33.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

63%

$105K Обс.

$17.8K Liq.

30

Ends in about 2 months

Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by...?

Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by...?

78%

May 15

$6.3K Обс.

$13.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 17 days

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

18%

$20.7K Обс.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

4%

$216K Обс.

$30.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

14%

$3.0K Обс.

$26.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

59%

December 31

$1M Обс.

$85.4K Liq.

66

Ends in about 2 months

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

18%

$407K Обс.

$21.4K Liq.

157

Ends in 17 days

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

16%

$2M Обс.

$77.8K Liq.

89

Ends in 8 months

Часті запитання

Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти, торгуючи на теми новин, політики, спорту, виборів, крипто, фінансів, технологій, культури, включаючи такі теми, як AS.

Polymarket наразі має 3126 активних ринків для AS, де ви можете відстежувати або торгувати на прогнози, як-от «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?». Платформа агрегує шанси в реальному часі на основі понад $31.8M обсягу торгів.

Кожен polymarket — це питання «так/ні», наприклад «Trump out as President by June 30?». Ви купуєте акції «так» або «ні». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові шанси та ймовірності. Наприклад, якщо «так» коштує 30 центів — це 30% шанс. Ринки вирішуються за офіційними результатами. Для подій з кількома результатами, як-от «Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?», ви просто торгуєте на конкретний результат, який вважаєте правильним.

Станом на сьогодні найактивніший ринок — «Trump out as President before 2027?», де спільнота оцінює шанс No у 89%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Це усуває шум. На відміну від опитувань чи експертів, Polymarket показує шанси в реальному часі, підкріплені фінансовою впевненістю, часто швидші та точніші за експертів чи опитування.