Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman faces Republican Robin Littau in the November 3, 2026, general election for California's 2nd congressional district, where the top-two primary advanced both nominees. Trader consensus prices Person A and Person B near even at 50% each alongside clustered probabilities across Democrat margin buckets from 0-5% to 45%+, with Republican wins at 35%, reflecting uncertainty over the final spread in this D+13 district. The race remains tight due to Huffman's long incumbency and fundraising edge balanced against Littau's local profile, variable turnout in coastal and rural counties, and broader midterm dynamics that could influence swing voters. Key catalysts ahead include any late polling shifts, campaign spending surges, or national political developments that might widen the margin or boost Republican performance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
CA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 40-45% 41%
Democrat 25-30% 41%
Democrat 0-5% 39%
Democrat 20-25% 38%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 45%+
31%
Democrat 40-45%
41%
Democrat 35-40%
36%
Democrat 30-35%
35%
Democrat 25-30%
41%
Democrat 20-25%
38%
Democrat 15-20%
36%
Democrat 5-15%
33%
Democrat 0-5%
39%
Republican Wins
34%
Democrat 40-45% 41%
Democrat 25-30% 41%
Democrat 0-5% 39%
Democrat 20-25% 38%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 45%+
$0 KL.
31%
Democrat 40-45%
$0 KL.
41%
Democrat 35-40%
$0 KL.
36%
Democrat 30-35%
$0 KL.
35%
Democrat 25-30%
$0 KL.
41%
Democrat 20-25%
$0 KL.
38%
Democrat 15-20%
$0 KL.
36%
Democrat 5-15%
$0 KL.
33%
Democrat 0-5%
$0 KL.
39%
Republican Wins
$23 KL.
34%
The 2026 CA-02 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman faces Republican Robin Littau in the November 3, 2026, general election for California's 2nd congressional district, where the top-two primary advanced both nominees. Trader consensus prices Person A and Person B near even at 50% each alongside clustered probabilities across Democrat margin buckets from 0-5% to 45%+, with Republican wins at 35%, reflecting uncertainty over the final spread in this D+13 district. The race remains tight due to Huffman's long incumbency and fundraising edge balanced against Littau's local profile, variable turnout in coastal and rural counties, and broader midterm dynamics that could influence swing voters. Key catalysts ahead include any late polling shifts, campaign spending surges, or national political developments that might widen the margin or boost Republican performance.
The 2026 CA-02 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$23Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 3:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 CA-02 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman faces Republican Robin Littau in the November 3, 2026, general election for California's 2nd congressional district, where the top-two primary advanced both nominees. Trader consensus prices Person A and Person B near even at 50% each alongside clustered probabilities across Democrat margin buckets from 0-5% to 45%+, with Republican wins at 35%, reflecting uncertainty over the final spread in this D+13 district. The race remains tight due to Huffman's long incumbency and fundraising edge balanced against Littau's local profile, variable turnout in coastal and rural counties, and broader midterm dynamics that could influence swing voters. Key catalysts ahead include any late polling shifts, campaign spending surges, or national political developments that might widen the margin or boost Republican performance.
The 2026 CA-02 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$23Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 3:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman faces Republican Robin Littau in the November 3, 2026, general election for California's 2nd congressional district, where the top-two primary advanced both nominees. Trader consensus prices Person A and Person B near even at 50% each alongside clustered probabilities across Democrat margin buckets from 0-5% to 45%+, with Republican wins at 35%, reflecting uncertainty over the final spread in this D+13 district. The race remains tight due to Huffman's long incumbency and fundraising edge balanced against Littau's local profile, variable turnout in coastal and rural counties, and broader midterm dynamics that could influence swing voters. Key catalysts ahead include any late polling shifts, campaign spending surges, or national political developments that might widen the margin or boost Republican performance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp