Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have triggered sharp supply disruptions, driving significant inventory draws and embedding a substantial risk premium into crude oil futures. With global stocks projected to decline by roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, WTI prices have climbed toward the $100–110 range amid reduced flows from key Gulf producers. Traders are closely monitoring potential resumption of tanker traffic, upcoming EIA inventory releases, and any shifts in OPEC+ output guidance as catalysts that could either sustain elevated levels or ease pressure by late June. These dynamics reflect real-time market pricing of persistent uncertainty rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDầu thô (CL) sẽ tấn công__ vào cuối tháng 6?
$17,178,587 KL.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $140
20%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
49%
↑ $115
58%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
48%
↓ $80
38%
↓ $70
13%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
$17,178,587 KL.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $140
20%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
49%
↑ $115
58%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
48%
↓ $80
38%
↓ $70
13%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Thị trường mở: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have triggered sharp supply disruptions, driving significant inventory draws and embedding a substantial risk premium into crude oil futures. With global stocks projected to decline by roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, WTI prices have climbed toward the $100–110 range amid reduced flows from key Gulf producers. Traders are closely monitoring potential resumption of tanker traffic, upcoming EIA inventory releases, and any shifts in OPEC+ output guidance as catalysts that could either sustain elevated levels or ease pressure by late June. These dynamics reflect real-time market pricing of persistent uncertainty rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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