The Connecticut 1st congressional district's strong Democratic tilt, anchored by urban centers like Hartford, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% for the November 2026 general election. Recent polling and historical margins reflect consistent double-digit advantages in the solidly Democratic seat. The August 11 primary produced a clear outcome when former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin defeated 14-term incumbent John Larson, resolving internal party competition and positioning a unified Democratic candidate against Republican Amy Chai. Cook Political Report rates the race as Solid Democratic. Factors that could narrow this edge include major national partisan shifts, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCT-01 House Election Winner
CT-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,594 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$3,974 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Connecticut 1st congressional district's strong Democratic tilt, anchored by urban centers like Hartford, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% for the November 2026 general election. Recent polling and historical margins reflect consistent double-digit advantages in the solidly Democratic seat. The August 11 primary produced a clear outcome when former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin defeated 14-term incumbent John Larson, resolving internal party competition and positioning a unified Democratic candidate against Republican Amy Chai. Cook Political Report rates the race as Solid Democratic. Factors that could narrow this edge include major national partisan shifts, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,568Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Connecticut 1st congressional district's strong Democratic tilt, anchored by urban centers like Hartford, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% for the November 2026 general election. Recent polling and historical margins reflect consistent double-digit advantages in the solidly Democratic seat. The August 11 primary produced a clear outcome when former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin defeated 14-term incumbent John Larson, resolving internal party competition and positioning a unified Democratic candidate against Republican Amy Chai. Cook Political Report rates the race as Solid Democratic. Factors that could narrow this edge include major national partisan shifts, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$6,568Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Connecticut 1st congressional district's strong Democratic tilt, anchored by urban centers like Hartford, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% for the November 2026 general election. Recent polling and historical margins reflect consistent double-digit advantages in the solidly Democratic seat. The August 11 primary produced a clear outcome when former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin defeated 14-term incumbent John Larson, resolving internal party competition and positioning a unified Democratic candidate against Republican Amy Chai. Cook Political Report rates the race as Solid Democratic. Factors that could narrow this edge include major national partisan shifts, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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