Traders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the narrow favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 6-8, with the adjacent 65-89 bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of steady but not explosive posting volume. Recent patterns show Musk averaging under 15 original posts daily in early August, with lighter weekend engagement and few high-profile catalysts on the immediate horizon beyond ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary. Market sentiment draws from Musk’s established rhythm of reacting to breaking news, Grok updates, and company milestones, tempered by the quiet pre-weekend stretch and absence of earnings calls or major product reveals. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether any sudden external development—such as regulatory headlines or viral threads—spikes replies and quotes, while historical weekend dips support the moderate brackets favored by skin-in-the-game consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 42%
65-89 34%
<40 15%
90-114 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
<40
15%
40-64
42%
65-89
34%
90-114
10%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 42%
65-89 34%
<40 15%
90-114 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
<40
$508 KL.
15%
40-64
$235 KL.
42%
65-89
$213 KL.
34%
90-114
$59 KL.
10%
115-139
$40 KL.
2%
140-164
$60 KL.
<1%
165-189
$0 KL.
<1%
190-214
$6 KL.
<1%
215-239
$1,771 KL.
<1%
240+
$1,931 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the narrow favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 6-8, with the adjacent 65-89 bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of steady but not explosive posting volume. Recent patterns show Musk averaging under 15 original posts daily in early August, with lighter weekend engagement and few high-profile catalysts on the immediate horizon beyond ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary. Market sentiment draws from Musk’s established rhythm of reacting to breaking news, Grok updates, and company milestones, tempered by the quiet pre-weekend stretch and absence of earnings calls or major product reveals. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether any sudden external development—such as regulatory headlines or viral threads—spikes replies and quotes, while historical weekend dips support the moderate brackets favored by skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,823Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the narrow favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 6-8, with the adjacent 65-89 bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of steady but not explosive posting volume. Recent patterns show Musk averaging under 15 original posts daily in early August, with lighter weekend engagement and few high-profile catalysts on the immediate horizon beyond ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary. Market sentiment draws from Musk’s established rhythm of reacting to breaking news, Grok updates, and company milestones, tempered by the quiet pre-weekend stretch and absence of earnings calls or major product reveals. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether any sudden external development—such as regulatory headlines or viral threads—spikes replies and quotes, while historical weekend dips support the moderate brackets favored by skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$4,823Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the narrow favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 6-8, with the adjacent 65-89 bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of steady but not explosive posting volume. Recent patterns show Musk averaging under 15 original posts daily in early August, with lighter weekend engagement and few high-profile catalysts on the immediate horizon beyond ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary. Market sentiment draws from Musk’s established rhythm of reacting to breaking news, Grok updates, and company milestones, tempered by the quiet pre-weekend stretch and absence of earnings calls or major product reveals. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether any sudden external development—such as regulatory headlines or viral threads—spikes replies and quotes, while historical weekend dips support the moderate brackets favored by skin-in-the-game consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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