Polymarket's official X tracker confirms Elon Musk has posted exactly 164 times from May 1 12:00 PM ET to early May 8, driving 100% trader consensus on the 160-179 range as the noon ET cutoff nears with minimal activity—just three early-morning replies on politics and gaming amid user notes of his uncharacteristically quiet streak. This strong positioning stems from his recent posting cadence dipping below the 23-daily average, influenced by OpenAI trial distractions following a May 1 spike of dozens of viral engagements on demographics and Starlink expansions. While historical patterns show occasional surges from controversies or announcements, an upset to 180+ would demand an improbable 16+ post blitz in the final hours, defying current low-engagement momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$9,406,775 KL.
$9,406,775 KL.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
Yes
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$9,406,775 KL.
$9,406,775 KL.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
Yes
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Polymarket's official X tracker confirms Elon Musk has posted exactly 164 times from May 1 12:00 PM ET to early May 8, driving 100% trader consensus on the 160-179 range as the noon ET cutoff nears with minimal activity—just three early-morning replies on politics and gaming amid user notes of his uncharacteristically quiet streak. This strong positioning stems from his recent posting cadence dipping below the 23-daily average, influenced by OpenAI trial distractions following a May 1 spike of dozens of viral engagements on demographics and Starlink expansions. While historical patterns show occasional surges from controversies or announcements, an upset to 180+ would demand an improbable 16+ post blitz in the final hours, defying current low-engagement momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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