Elon Musk’s consistent high-frequency posting on X has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges for the May 12-19 window, reflecting a sustained daily pace of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product updates, Grok feature rollouts, and cultural commentary. Recent days show steady engagement without the extreme spikes that occasionally push totals higher, keeping the market-implied odds tightly clustered in those mid-range buckets. With only a couple days remaining before the period closes, any late-week announcements on Tesla production or platform milestones could nudge volume upward, while a quieter finish would reinforce the current frontrunner positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật180-199 45.0%
200-219 30.9%
220-239 11.6%
160-179 5.5%
$9,648,277 KL.
$9,648,277 KL.
May 19, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
5%
180-199
45%
200-219
31%
220-239
12%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 45.0%
200-219 30.9%
220-239 11.6%
160-179 5.5%
$9,648,277 KL.
$9,648,277 KL.
May 19, 2026
140-159
$709,013 KL.
<1%
160-179
$465,959 KL.
5%
180-199
$370,246 KL.
45%
200-219
$356,055 KL.
31%
220-239
$380,368 KL.
12%
240-259
$309,971 KL.
2%
260-279
$294,954 KL.
1%
280-299
$271,068 KL.
<1%
300-319
$323,286 KL.
<1%
320-339
$400,517 KL.
<1%
340-359
$431,224 KL.
<1%
360-379
$416,794 KL.
<1%
380-399
$400,319 KL.
<1%
400-419
$544,870 KL.
<1%
420-439
$157,801 KL.
<1%
440-459
$82,148 KL.
<1%
460-479
$67,044 KL.
<1%
480-499
$29,190 KL.
<1%
500+
$241,769 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-frequency posting on X has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges for the May 12-19 window, reflecting a sustained daily pace of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product updates, Grok feature rollouts, and cultural commentary. Recent days show steady engagement without the extreme spikes that occasionally push totals higher, keeping the market-implied odds tightly clustered in those mid-range buckets. With only a couple days remaining before the period closes, any late-week announcements on Tesla production or platform milestones could nudge volume upward, while a quieter finish would reinforce the current frontrunner positioning.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,648,277Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-frequency posting on X has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges for the May 12-19 window, reflecting a sustained daily pace of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product updates, Grok feature rollouts, and cultural commentary. Recent days show steady engagement without the extreme spikes that occasionally push totals higher, keeping the market-implied odds tightly clustered in those mid-range buckets. With only a couple days remaining before the period closes, any late-week announcements on Tesla production or platform milestones could nudge volume upward, while a quieter finish would reinforce the current frontrunner positioning.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$9,648,277Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent high-frequency posting on X has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges for the May 12-19 window, reflecting a sustained daily pace of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product updates, Grok feature rollouts, and cultural commentary. Recent days show steady engagement without the extreme spikes that occasionally push totals higher, keeping the market-implied odds tightly clustered in those mid-range buckets. With only a couple days remaining before the period closes, any late-week announcements on Tesla production or platform milestones could nudge volume upward, while a quieter finish would reinforce the current frontrunner positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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