Trader consensus for the Elon Musk tweet volume market strongly favors the 40-64 range at 61.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent daily posting rhythm on X amid routine business updates and public commentary. Recent activity shows steady output without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, aligning with historical patterns of 13–21 tweets per day during quieter stretches. The three-day window through May 18 keeps extreme totals unlikely, though any breaking industry news could shift momentum. This reflects traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment of his established cultural presence as a prolific poster rather than event-driven surges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 62%
65-89 34%
90-114 3.0%
<40 <1%
$655,422 KL.
$655,422 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
1%
40-64
62%
65-89
34%
90-114
3%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 62%
65-89 34%
90-114 3.0%
<40 <1%
$655,422 KL.
$655,422 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
$199,616 KL.
1%
40-64
$56,005 KL.
62%
65-89
$63,122 KL.
34%
90-114
$85,458 KL.
3%
115-139
$65,045 KL.
<1%
140-164
$61,100 KL.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 KL.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 KL.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 KL.
<1%
240+
$18,696 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus for the Elon Musk tweet volume market strongly favors the 40-64 range at 61.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent daily posting rhythm on X amid routine business updates and public commentary. Recent activity shows steady output without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, aligning with historical patterns of 13–21 tweets per day during quieter stretches. The three-day window through May 18 keeps extreme totals unlikely, though any breaking industry news could shift momentum. This reflects traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment of his established cultural presence as a prolific poster rather than event-driven surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$655,422Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus for the Elon Musk tweet volume market strongly favors the 40-64 range at 61.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent daily posting rhythm on X amid routine business updates and public commentary. Recent activity shows steady output without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, aligning with historical patterns of 13–21 tweets per day during quieter stretches. The three-day window through May 18 keeps extreme totals unlikely, though any breaking industry news could shift momentum. This reflects traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment of his established cultural presence as a prolific poster rather than event-driven surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$655,422Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the Elon Musk tweet volume market strongly favors the 40-64 range at 61.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent daily posting rhythm on X amid routine business updates and public commentary. Recent activity shows steady output without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, aligning with historical patterns of 13–21 tweets per day during quieter stretches. The three-day window through May 18 keeps extreme totals unlikely, though any breaking industry news could shift momentum. This reflects traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment of his established cultural presence as a prolific poster rather than event-driven surges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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