Traders see a wide spread of probabilities across several hundred-tweet brackets because Elon Musk’s monthly output on X remains highly variable and sensitive to real-time events. His posting pace often accelerates during major Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory developments, or political commentary, while slowing during travel or focused project periods. With roughly half of May already elapsed, the current trajectory suggests a total near the upper end of historical ranges, yet fresh announcements or controversies could easily add or subtract hundreds of posts before the month closes. This uncertainty keeps multiple adjacent ranges within a few percentage points of one another.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật840-879 12.2%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 10.0%
880-919 9.5%
$3,150,212 KL.
$3,150,212 KL.
Jun 1, 2026
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
11%
840-879
12%
880-919
10%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 12.2%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 10.0%
880-919 9.5%
$3,150,212 KL.
$3,150,212 KL.
Jun 1, 2026
340-359
$69,472 KL.
<1%
360-379
$55,291 KL.
<1%
380-399
$58,220 KL.
<1%
400-419
$56,871 KL.
<1%
420-439
$43,409 KL.
<1%
440-459
$54,448 KL.
<1%
460-479
$63,303 KL.
<1%
480-499
$58,382 KL.
<1%
500-519
$64,925 KL.
<1%
520-539
$53,161 KL.
<1%
540-559
$45,810 KL.
1%
560-579
$43,735 KL.
1%
580-599
$49,462 KL.
1%
600-619
$43,146 KL.
1%
620-639
$39,650 KL.
1%
640-659
$44,359 KL.
2%
660-679
$38,150 KL.
2%
680-699
$34,392 KL.
2%
700-719
$46,047 KL.
4%
720-739
$48,036 KL.
4%
740-759
$39,816 KL.
6%
760-779
$41,038 KL.
5%
780-799
$43,951 KL.
6%
800-839
$46,099 KL.
11%
840-879
$36,291 KL.
12%
880-919
$40,160 KL.
10%
920-959
$37,523 KL.
10%
960-999
$35,340 KL.
8%
1000-1039
$36,121 KL.
5%
1040-1079
$33,379 KL.
4%
1080-1119
$40,136 KL.
2%
1120-1159
$50,723 KL.
1%
1160-1199
$56,655 KL.
<1%
1200-1239
$55,495 KL.
<1%
1240-1279
$67,489 KL.
<1%
1280-1319
$59,982 KL.
<1%
1320-1359
$59,746 KL.
<1%
1360-1399
$44,609 KL.
<1%
1400-1439
$74,110 KL.
<1%
1440-1479
$45,365 KL.
<1%
1480-1519
$25,045 KL.
<1%
1520-1559
$27,191 KL.
<1%
1560-1599
$32,981 KL.
<1%
1600-1679
$39,619 KL.
<1%
1680-1759
$40,902 KL.
<1%
1760-1839
$34,463 KL.
<1%
1840-1919
$27,564 KL.
<1%
1920-1999
$62,382 KL.
<1%
2000+
$292,699 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a wide spread of probabilities across several hundred-tweet brackets because Elon Musk’s monthly output on X remains highly variable and sensitive to real-time events. His posting pace often accelerates during major Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory developments, or political commentary, while slowing during travel or focused project periods. With roughly half of May already elapsed, the current trajectory suggests a total near the upper end of historical ranges, yet fresh announcements or controversies could easily add or subtract hundreds of posts before the month closes. This uncertainty keeps multiple adjacent ranges within a few percentage points of one another.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,150,212Ngày kết thúc
Jun 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a wide spread of probabilities across several hundred-tweet brackets because Elon Musk’s monthly output on X remains highly variable and sensitive to real-time events. His posting pace often accelerates during major Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory developments, or political commentary, while slowing during travel or focused project periods. With roughly half of May already elapsed, the current trajectory suggests a total near the upper end of historical ranges, yet fresh announcements or controversies could easily add or subtract hundreds of posts before the month closes. This uncertainty keeps multiple adjacent ranges within a few percentage points of one another.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$3,150,212Ngày kết thúc
Jun 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a wide spread of probabilities across several hundred-tweet brackets because Elon Musk’s monthly output on X remains highly variable and sensitive to real-time events. His posting pace often accelerates during major Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory developments, or political commentary, while slowing during travel or focused project periods. With roughly half of May already elapsed, the current trajectory suggests a total near the upper end of historical ranges, yet fresh announcements or controversies could easily add or subtract hundreds of posts before the month closes. This uncertainty keeps multiple adjacent ranges within a few percentage points of one another.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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