Trader consensus positions incumbent John Rutherford as the clear favorite to win the FL-05 Republican primary at an 83% implied probability, driven by his established congressional record and limited effective opposition from challengers including Mark Kaye at 16%. No major polling shifts, high-profile endorsements, or campaign developments have occurred in the past 30 days to alter this positioning. The stable field and typical incumbency dynamics in Florida Republican primaries continue to underpin current market probabilities ahead of the primary date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-05 Republican Primary Winner
FL-05 Republican Primary Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
John Rutherford
87%
Mark Kaye
18%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
John Rutherford
$82 KL.
87%
Mark Kaye
$0 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus positions incumbent John Rutherford as the clear favorite to win the FL-05 Republican primary at an 83% implied probability, driven by his established congressional record and limited effective opposition from challengers including Mark Kaye at 16%. No major polling shifts, high-profile endorsements, or campaign developments have occurred in the past 30 days to alter this positioning. The stable field and typical incumbency dynamics in Florida Republican primaries continue to underpin current market probabilities ahead of the primary date.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Jul 20, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$82Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus positions incumbent John Rutherford as the clear favorite to win the FL-05 Republican primary at an 83% implied probability, driven by his established congressional record and limited effective opposition from challengers including Mark Kaye at 16%. No major polling shifts, high-profile endorsements, or campaign developments have occurred in the past 30 days to alter this positioning. The stable field and typical incumbency dynamics in Florida Republican primaries continue to underpin current market probabilities ahead of the primary date.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$82Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions incumbent John Rutherford as the clear favorite to win the FL-05 Republican primary at an 83% implied probability, driven by his established congressional record and limited effective opposition from challengers including Mark Kaye at 16%. No major polling shifts, high-profile endorsements, or campaign developments have occurred in the past 30 days to alter this positioning. The stable field and typical incumbency dynamics in Florida Republican primaries continue to underpin current market probabilities ahead of the primary date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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