The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
Thời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
Không bị tù 81.9%
Dưới 5 năm 7.0%
5-10 years 4.2%
10-20 năm 3.5%
$988,111 KL.
$988,111 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
82%
Dưới 5 năm
7%
5-10 years
4%
10-20 năm
3%
20-30 năm
3%
Hơn 30 năm
1%
Không bị tù 81.9%
Dưới 5 năm 7.0%
5-10 years 4.2%
10-20 năm 3.5%
$988,111 KL.
$988,111 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
$347,092 KL.
82%
Dưới 5 năm
$131,255 KL.
7%
5-10 years
$79,723 KL.
4%
10-20 năm
$158,030 KL.
3%
20-30 năm
$199,546 KL.
3%
Hơn 30 năm
$72,465 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$988,111Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$988,111Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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