The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared after a deadlocked jury on May 15, 2026, has anchored trader sentiment around no additional prison time. With the former studio executive already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction that remains under appeal, and facing a pending New York sentencing on a separate sexual-assault count, the lack of a new guilty verdict limits prospects for consecutive time. Weinstein’s age of 74 and documented health complications further tilt market-implied odds toward possible compassionate release or concurrent sentencing. Upcoming decisions on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or how appellate courts rule on existing convictions will be the next catalysts likely to shift these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
Thời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
Không bị tù 79.8%
Dưới 5 năm 7.0%
5-10 years 6.7%
20-30 năm 1.5%
$985,540 KL.
$985,540 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
80%
Dưới 5 năm
7%
5-10 years
7%
10-20 năm
1%
20-30 năm
1%
Hơn 30 năm
<1%
Không bị tù 79.8%
Dưới 5 năm 7.0%
5-10 years 6.7%
20-30 năm 1.5%
$985,540 KL.
$985,540 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
$346,845 KL.
80%
Dưới 5 năm
$131,147 KL.
7%
5-10 years
$79,508 KL.
7%
10-20 năm
$157,378 KL.
1%
20-30 năm
$198,201 KL.
1%
Hơn 30 năm
$72,460 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared after a deadlocked jury on May 15, 2026, has anchored trader sentiment around no additional prison time. With the former studio executive already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction that remains under appeal, and facing a pending New York sentencing on a separate sexual-assault count, the lack of a new guilty verdict limits prospects for consecutive time. Weinstein’s age of 74 and documented health complications further tilt market-implied odds toward possible compassionate release or concurrent sentencing. Upcoming decisions on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or how appellate courts rule on existing convictions will be the next catalysts likely to shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$985,540Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared after a deadlocked jury on May 15, 2026, has anchored trader sentiment around no additional prison time. With the former studio executive already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction that remains under appeal, and facing a pending New York sentencing on a separate sexual-assault count, the lack of a new guilty verdict limits prospects for consecutive time. Weinstein’s age of 74 and documented health complications further tilt market-implied odds toward possible compassionate release or concurrent sentencing. Upcoming decisions on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or how appellate courts rule on existing convictions will be the next catalysts likely to shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$985,540Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared after a deadlocked jury on May 15, 2026, has anchored trader sentiment around no additional prison time. With the former studio executive already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction that remains under appeal, and facing a pending New York sentencing on a separate sexual-assault count, the lack of a new guilty verdict limits prospects for consecutive time. Weinstein’s age of 74 and documented health complications further tilt market-implied odds toward possible compassionate release or concurrent sentencing. Upcoming decisions on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or how appellate courts rule on existing convictions will be the next catalysts likely to shift these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp