Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, ahead of other Claude variants and models from OpenAI, Meta, and Google. Rapid 2026 releases have emphasized advanced reasoning, adaptive tool use, and chain-of-thought techniques on the 2,500 expert-authored questions spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Anthropic’s recent disclosure that Claude now leads 26% of its internal AI R&D work underscores accelerating self-improvement loops that could drive further gains. With three months left before the December 31, 2026 resolution, additional frontier updates remain the key swing factor for thresholds above 60%, while lower bars already reflect established performance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$107,107 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
90%
60%+
42%
65%+
19%
70%+
14%
75%+
8%
$107,107 KL.
55%+
$27,517 KL.
90%
60%+
$45,298 KL.
42%
65%+
$28,321 KL.
19%
70%+
$4,458 KL.
14%
75%+
$1,513 KL.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, ahead of other Claude variants and models from OpenAI, Meta, and Google. Rapid 2026 releases have emphasized advanced reasoning, adaptive tool use, and chain-of-thought techniques on the 2,500 expert-authored questions spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Anthropic’s recent disclosure that Claude now leads 26% of its internal AI R&D work underscores accelerating self-improvement loops that could drive further gains. With three months left before the December 31, 2026 resolution, additional frontier updates remain the key swing factor for thresholds above 60%, while lower bars already reflect established performance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Thị trường mở: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$107,107Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://agi.safe.ai/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, ahead of other Claude variants and models from OpenAI, Meta, and Google. Rapid 2026 releases have emphasized advanced reasoning, adaptive tool use, and chain-of-thought techniques on the 2,500 expert-authored questions spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Anthropic’s recent disclosure that Claude now leads 26% of its internal AI R&D work underscores accelerating self-improvement loops that could drive further gains. With three months left before the December 31, 2026 resolution, additional frontier updates remain the key swing factor for thresholds above 60%, while lower bars already reflect established performance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Khối lượng
$107,107Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://agi.safe.ai/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, ahead of other Claude variants and models from OpenAI, Meta, and Google. Rapid 2026 releases have emphasized advanced reasoning, adaptive tool use, and chain-of-thought techniques on the 2,500 expert-authored questions spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Anthropic’s recent disclosure that Claude now leads 26% of its internal AI R&D work underscores accelerating self-improvement loops that could drive further gains. With three months left before the December 31, 2026 resolution, additional frontier updates remain the key swing factor for thresholds above 60%, while lower bars already reflect established performance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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