Recent official forecasts from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a sharp cooldown in Ankara on September 14, with daytime highs projected near 26–27°C after peaks of 32–33°C on the prior two days. This shift stems from a transition to stronger westerly winds, increased boundary-layer mixing, and modest moisture advection that limits afternoon heating despite mostly clear skies. The narrow spread between the leading market outcomes reflects minor divergences across ensemble members on exact peak timing and wind gust strength, which can alter surface temperatures by 1°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical highs near 25–28°C, placing the current consensus within normal late-summer variability as resolution approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
27°C 46%
26°C 39%
25°C 10%
28°C 9%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C
39%
27°C
46%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 46%
26°C 39%
25°C 10%
28°C 9%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C
39%
27°C
46%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a sharp cooldown in Ankara on September 14, with daytime highs projected near 26–27°C after peaks of 32–33°C on the prior two days. This shift stems from a transition to stronger westerly winds, increased boundary-layer mixing, and modest moisture advection that limits afternoon heating despite mostly clear skies. The narrow spread between the leading market outcomes reflects minor divergences across ensemble members on exact peak timing and wind gust strength, which can alter surface temperatures by 1°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical highs near 25–28°C, placing the current consensus within normal late-summer variability as resolution approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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