Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature near 98–99°F for Houston on August 2 amid ongoing summer heat, with surface highs supported by weak flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects typical model spread for maximum temperature on the final day of a heat advisory period, where small differences in afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high by 2–3°F. Historical August normals near 95°F provide context, but recent above-average conditions and the absence of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for 100°F+ low while capping downside risk below 96°F. Updated NWS and short-range model runs expected later today will likely refine these narrow ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on August 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 2?
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 39%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
39%
98-99°F
40%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 39%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
$227 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$333 KL.
1%
94-95°F
$1,744 KL.
10%
96-97°F
$1,228 KL.
39%
98-99°F
$1,072 KL.
40%
100-101°F
$454 KL.
14%
102-103°F
$335 KL.
3%
104-105°F
$311 KL.
1%
106-107°F
$63 KL.
<1%
108-109°F
$154 KL.
<1%
110°F or higher
$224 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature near 98–99°F for Houston on August 2 amid ongoing summer heat, with surface highs supported by weak flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects typical model spread for maximum temperature on the final day of a heat advisory period, where small differences in afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high by 2–3°F. Historical August normals near 95°F provide context, but recent above-average conditions and the absence of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for 100°F+ low while capping downside risk below 96°F. Updated NWS and short-range model runs expected later today will likely refine these narrow ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,143Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature near 98–99°F for Houston on August 2 amid ongoing summer heat, with surface highs supported by weak flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects typical model spread for maximum temperature on the final day of a heat advisory period, where small differences in afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high by 2–3°F. Historical August normals near 95°F provide context, but recent above-average conditions and the absence of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for 100°F+ low while capping downside risk below 96°F. Updated NWS and short-range model runs expected later today will likely refine these narrow ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,143Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature near 98–99°F for Houston on August 2 amid ongoing summer heat, with surface highs supported by weak flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects typical model spread for maximum temperature on the final day of a heat advisory period, where small differences in afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high by 2–3°F. Historical August normals near 95°F provide context, but recent above-average conditions and the absence of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for 100°F+ low while capping downside risk below 96°F. Updated NWS and short-range model runs expected later today will likely refine these narrow ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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