Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by INMET and international agencies point to a mild winter day in São Paulo on August 8, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 27–29 °C under stable high-pressure conditions following earlier cold fronts. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 23–25 °C, but current atmospheric patterns, including drier air and limited cloud cover, support a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 28 °C outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Model consensus remains tight on peak values below 30 °C, with only modest upside risk from localized urban heat effects or delayed frontal passage, keeping higher bins at low single-digit odds. Updated runs expected overnight will refine steering winds and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 8?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 8?
28°C 37%
29°C 26%
30°C 18%
27°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
14%
28°C
37%
29°C
26%
30°C
18%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 37%
29°C 26%
30°C 18%
27°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$90 KL.
1%
23°C
$170 KL.
1%
24°C
$2 KL.
2%
25°C
$33 KL.
3%
26°C
$128 KL.
6%
27°C
$338 KL.
14%
28°C
$204 KL.
37%
29°C
$102 KL.
26%
30°C
$271 KL.
18%
31°C
$61 KL.
4%
32°C or higher
$23 KL.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by INMET and international agencies point to a mild winter day in São Paulo on August 8, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 27–29 °C under stable high-pressure conditions following earlier cold fronts. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 23–25 °C, but current atmospheric patterns, including drier air and limited cloud cover, support a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 28 °C outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Model consensus remains tight on peak values below 30 °C, with only modest upside risk from localized urban heat effects or delayed frontal passage, keeping higher bins at low single-digit odds. Updated runs expected overnight will refine steering winds and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,422Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by INMET and international agencies point to a mild winter day in São Paulo on August 8, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 27–29 °C under stable high-pressure conditions following earlier cold fronts. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 23–25 °C, but current atmospheric patterns, including drier air and limited cloud cover, support a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 28 °C outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Model consensus remains tight on peak values below 30 °C, with only modest upside risk from localized urban heat effects or delayed frontal passage, keeping higher bins at low single-digit odds. Updated runs expected overnight will refine steering winds and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,422Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by INMET and international agencies point to a mild winter day in São Paulo on August 8, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 27–29 °C under stable high-pressure conditions following earlier cold fronts. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 23–25 °C, but current atmospheric patterns, including drier air and limited cloud cover, support a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 28 °C outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Model consensus remains tight on peak values below 30 °C, with only modest upside risk from localized urban heat effects or delayed frontal passage, keeping higher bins at low single-digit odds. Updated runs expected overnight will refine steering winds and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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