**Trader consensus centers on 37–38°C as the most probable peak temperature for Guangzhou on August 8, reflecting model agreement on subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cooling from monsoon moisture.** Recent observations show daytime maxima fluctuating between 29–36°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with AccuWeather and local guidance indicating a warming trend into the upper 30s under clearer skies. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns that could allow greater solar heating versus enhanced convection or typhoon-related outflow, which would cap temperatures near 36–37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify perceived extremes, while ensemble spreads in short-range models create the narrow probability gaps between adjacent thresholds. Updated CMA and numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 8?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 8?
38°C 36%
37°C 28%
39°C 20%
36°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
15%
37°C
28%
38°C
36%
39°C
20%
40°C
4%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 36%
37°C 28%
39°C 20%
36°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$477 KL.
<1%
32°C
$177 KL.
1%
33°C
$5 KL.
1%
34°C
$46 KL.
2%
35°C
$99 KL.
3%
36°C
$83 KL.
15%
37°C
$80 KL.
28%
38°C
$305 KL.
36%
39°C
$189 KL.
20%
40°C
$70 KL.
4%
41°C or higher
$1,200 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 37–38°C as the most probable peak temperature for Guangzhou on August 8, reflecting model agreement on subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cooling from monsoon moisture.** Recent observations show daytime maxima fluctuating between 29–36°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with AccuWeather and local guidance indicating a warming trend into the upper 30s under clearer skies. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns that could allow greater solar heating versus enhanced convection or typhoon-related outflow, which would cap temperatures near 36–37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify perceived extremes, while ensemble spreads in short-range models create the narrow probability gaps between adjacent thresholds. Updated CMA and numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,731Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 37–38°C as the most probable peak temperature for Guangzhou on August 8, reflecting model agreement on subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cooling from monsoon moisture.** Recent observations show daytime maxima fluctuating between 29–36°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with AccuWeather and local guidance indicating a warming trend into the upper 30s under clearer skies. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns that could allow greater solar heating versus enhanced convection or typhoon-related outflow, which would cap temperatures near 36–37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify perceived extremes, while ensemble spreads in short-range models create the narrow probability gaps between adjacent thresholds. Updated CMA and numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,731Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 37–38°C as the most probable peak temperature for Guangzhou on August 8, reflecting model agreement on subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cooling from monsoon moisture.** Recent observations show daytime maxima fluctuating between 29–36°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with AccuWeather and local guidance indicating a warming trend into the upper 30s under clearer skies. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns that could allow greater solar heating versus enhanced convection or typhoon-related outflow, which would cap temperatures near 36–37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify perceived extremes, while ensemble spreads in short-range models create the narrow probability gaps between adjacent thresholds. Updated CMA and numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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