Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a moderating influence from a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover, keeping Tokyo's maximum temperature on August 3 centered near 26–28 °C rather than the seasonal 31 °C average. High humidity and urban heat-island effects still apply, but model consensus favors limited insolation and possible brief showers that cap daytime peaks. Trader positioning around 27 °C (38 %) reflects this near-term data shift, with 26 °C and 28 °C as close alternatives; longer-range outlooks had initially supported higher outcomes before the latest runs. Updated model outputs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 3?
27°C 38%
26°C 25%
28°C 25%
29°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
25%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 38%
26°C 25%
28°C 25%
29°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$234 KL.
<1%
23°C
$259 KL.
<1%
24°C
$699 KL.
2%
25°C
$77 KL.
6%
26°C
$324 KL.
25%
27°C
$672 KL.
38%
28°C
$71 KL.
25%
29°C
$73 KL.
8%
30°C
$81 KL.
3%
31°C
$211 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$139 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a moderating influence from a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover, keeping Tokyo's maximum temperature on August 3 centered near 26–28 °C rather than the seasonal 31 °C average. High humidity and urban heat-island effects still apply, but model consensus favors limited insolation and possible brief showers that cap daytime peaks. Trader positioning around 27 °C (38 %) reflects this near-term data shift, with 26 °C and 28 °C as close alternatives; longer-range outlooks had initially supported higher outcomes before the latest runs. Updated model outputs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,840Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a moderating influence from a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover, keeping Tokyo's maximum temperature on August 3 centered near 26–28 °C rather than the seasonal 31 °C average. High humidity and urban heat-island effects still apply, but model consensus favors limited insolation and possible brief showers that cap daytime peaks. Trader positioning around 27 °C (38 %) reflects this near-term data shift, with 26 °C and 28 °C as close alternatives; longer-range outlooks had initially supported higher outcomes before the latest runs. Updated model outputs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,840Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a moderating influence from a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover, keeping Tokyo's maximum temperature on August 3 centered near 26–28 °C rather than the seasonal 31 °C average. High humidity and urban heat-island effects still apply, but model consensus favors limited insolation and possible brief showers that cap daytime peaks. Trader positioning around 27 °C (38 %) reflects this near-term data shift, with 26 °C and 28 °C as close alternatives; longer-range outlooks had initially supported higher outcomes before the latest runs. Updated model outputs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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