Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 29?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 29?
37°C 31%
38°C 28%
36°C or below 27%
39°C 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 29, 2026
36°C or below
27%
37°C
31%
38°C
28%
39°C
16%
40°C
5%
41°C
5%
42°C
3%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
37°C 31%
38°C 28%
36°C or below 27%
39°C 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 29, 2026
36°C or below
$27 KL.
27%
37°C
$4 KL.
31%
38°C
$1 KL.
28%
39°C
$6 KL.
16%
40°C
$67 KL.
5%
41°C
$30 KL.
5%
42°C
$10 KL.
3%
43°C
$129 KL.
1%
44°C
$10 KL.
1%
45°C
$5 KL.
<1%
46°C or higher
$99 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$388Ngày kết thúc
Jun 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$388Ngày kết thúc
Jun 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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