Wuhan's late-June temperatures reflect peak East Asian monsoon influence, with the subtropical high providing subsidence and solar heating tempered by lingering moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that curb peak insolation. Current ensemble guidance from global and regional models centers daily maxima near 31–33 °C, consistent with climatological late-June averages of 30–32 °C and recent observed highs in the low-30s amid patchy rain or haze. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32 °C versus 33 °C versus 31 °C arises from small forecast differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C. CMA and international model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 29?
32°C 33%
33°C 28%
31°C 16%
30°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
16%
32°C
33%
33°C
28%
34°C or higher
6%
32°C 33%
33°C 28%
31°C 16%
30°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
16%
32°C
33%
33°C
28%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wuhan's late-June temperatures reflect peak East Asian monsoon influence, with the subtropical high providing subsidence and solar heating tempered by lingering moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that curb peak insolation. Current ensemble guidance from global and regional models centers daily maxima near 31–33 °C, consistent with climatological late-June averages of 30–32 °C and recent observed highs in the low-30s amid patchy rain or haze. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32 °C versus 33 °C versus 31 °C arises from small forecast differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C. CMA and international model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp