**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a peak afternoon temperature of 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on September 5, 2026, under clear, sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk.** Official and ensemble guidance, including runs aligned with GFS data, shows stable high-pressure conditions allowing strong solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture advection to moderate temperatures. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region but favors the upper end of typical daily maxima. The market-implied probabilities—59% for 32°C or higher and 34.5% for exactly 31°C—reflect traders weighting real-time observational updates and model agreement on afternoon peaks, while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact timing of the daily maximum or local measurement variations. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 5?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 5?
31°C 49%
30°C 18%
29°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
15%
31°C
35%
32°C or higher
59%
31°C 49%
30°C 18%
29°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
$1,102 KL.
<1%
23°C
$1,102 KL.
<1%
24°C
$900 KL.
<1%
25°C
$270 KL.
<1%
26°C
$271 KL.
<1%
27°C
$659 KL.
<1%
28°C
$391 KL.
<1%
29°C
$7 KL.
1%
30°C
$40 KL.
15%
31°C
$3 KL.
35%
32°C or higher
$7 KL.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a peak afternoon temperature of 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on September 5, 2026, under clear, sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk.**
Official and ensemble guidance, including runs aligned with GFS data, shows stable high-pressure conditions allowing strong solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture advection to moderate temperatures. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region but favors the upper end of typical daily maxima. The market-implied probabilities—59% for 32°C or higher and 34.5% for exactly 31°C—reflect traders weighting real-time observational updates and model agreement on afternoon peaks, while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact timing of the daily maximum or local measurement variations. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,753Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a peak afternoon temperature of 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on September 5, 2026, under clear, sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk.**
Official and ensemble guidance, including runs aligned with GFS data, shows stable high-pressure conditions allowing strong solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture advection to moderate temperatures. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region but favors the upper end of typical daily maxima. The market-implied probabilities—59% for 32°C or higher and 34.5% for exactly 31°C—reflect traders weighting real-time observational updates and model agreement on afternoon peaks, while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact timing of the daily maximum or local measurement variations. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,753Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a peak afternoon temperature of 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on September 5, 2026, under clear, sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk.** Official and ensemble guidance, including runs aligned with GFS data, shows stable high-pressure conditions allowing strong solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture advection to moderate temperatures. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region but favors the upper end of typical daily maxima. The market-implied probabilities—59% for 32°C or higher and 34.5% for exactly 31°C—reflect traders weighting real-time observational updates and model agreement on afternoon peaks, while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact timing of the daily maximum or local measurement variations. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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