Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 57.5% between President Trump and President Xi Jinping during their Beijing summit, driven by their recent 27-second greeting at the October 2025 APEC summit in Busan, South Korea, where they held a nearly two-hour bilateral meeting yielding positive trade outcomes. Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, accompanied by CEOs from Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, and others, signals intent to advance US business interests amid discussions on trade, Taiwan, and Iran, fostering expectations of warm diplomatic optics. Shorter durations trail as historical patterns show Trump's extended handshakes with world leaders, like Macron's 29 seconds, while no-handshake odds remain negligible given protocol norms. The market awaits filmed evidence from the bilateral meeting expected imminently.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
15s+ 57%
10–15s 22%
6–10s 15%
2–6s 6.5%
$273,575 KL.
$273,575 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
3%
<2s
1%
2–6s
6%
6–10s
15%
10–15s
22%
15s+
57%
Photographed only
1%
15s+ 57%
10–15s 22%
6–10s 15%
2–6s 6.5%
$273,575 KL.
$273,575 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
$54,981 KL.
3%
<2s
$41,820 KL.
1%
2–6s
$42,634 KL.
6%
6–10s
$20,815 KL.
15%
10–15s
$20,959 KL.
22%
15s+
$50,187 KL.
57%
Photographed only
$42,284 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 57.5% between President Trump and President Xi Jinping during their Beijing summit, driven by their recent 27-second greeting at the October 2025 APEC summit in Busan, South Korea, where they held a nearly two-hour bilateral meeting yielding positive trade outcomes. Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, accompanied by CEOs from Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, and others, signals intent to advance US business interests amid discussions on trade, Taiwan, and Iran, fostering expectations of warm diplomatic optics. Shorter durations trail as historical patterns show Trump's extended handshakes with world leaders, like Macron's 29 seconds, while no-handshake odds remain negligible given protocol norms. The market awaits filmed evidence from the bilateral meeting expected imminently.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Thị trường mở: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$273,575Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 57.5% between President Trump and President Xi Jinping during their Beijing summit, driven by their recent 27-second greeting at the October 2025 APEC summit in Busan, South Korea, where they held a nearly two-hour bilateral meeting yielding positive trade outcomes. Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, accompanied by CEOs from Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, and others, signals intent to advance US business interests amid discussions on trade, Taiwan, and Iran, fostering expectations of warm diplomatic optics. Shorter durations trail as historical patterns show Trump's extended handshakes with world leaders, like Macron's 29 seconds, while no-handshake odds remain negligible given protocol norms. The market awaits filmed evidence from the bilateral meeting expected imminently.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Khối lượng
$273,575Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 57.5% between President Trump and President Xi Jinping during their Beijing summit, driven by their recent 27-second greeting at the October 2025 APEC summit in Busan, South Korea, where they held a nearly two-hour bilateral meeting yielding positive trade outcomes. Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, accompanied by CEOs from Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, and others, signals intent to advance US business interests amid discussions on trade, Taiwan, and Iran, fostering expectations of warm diplomatic optics. Shorter durations trail as historical patterns show Trump's extended handshakes with world leaders, like Macron's 29 seconds, while no-handshake odds remain negligible given protocol norms. The market awaits filmed evidence from the bilateral meeting expected imminently.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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