South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's ongoing criminal trials—including election law violations, the Daejang-dong development scandal, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—remain indefinitely suspended since his 2025 inauguration, per constitutional immunity protections that shield sitting presidents from prosecution except for insurrection or treason. This procedural halt, upheld by multiple court postponements in 2025, underpins trader consensus at 87.8% against arrest before year-end 2026, as no recent prosecutorial actions or warrant requests have emerged amid his administration's March 2026 judicial reforms expanding presidential influence over Supreme Court appointments. Polarized opposition calls for resumption face institutional barriers, with Yoon Suk-yeol's recent imprisonment highlighting enforcement selectivity but not targeting Lee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$316,971 KL.
$316,971 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$316,971 KL.
$316,971 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's ongoing criminal trials—including election law violations, the Daejang-dong development scandal, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—remain indefinitely suspended since his 2025 inauguration, per constitutional immunity protections that shield sitting presidents from prosecution except for insurrection or treason. This procedural halt, upheld by multiple court postponements in 2025, underpins trader consensus at 87.8% against arrest before year-end 2026, as no recent prosecutorial actions or warrant requests have emerged amid his administration's March 2026 judicial reforms expanding presidential influence over Supreme Court appointments. Polarized opposition calls for resumption face institutional barriers, with Yoon Suk-yeol's recent imprisonment highlighting enforcement selectivity but not targeting Lee.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$316,971Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's ongoing criminal trials—including election law violations, the Daejang-dong development scandal, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—remain indefinitely suspended since his 2025 inauguration, per constitutional immunity protections that shield sitting presidents from prosecution except for insurrection or treason. This procedural halt, upheld by multiple court postponements in 2025, underpins trader consensus at 87.8% against arrest before year-end 2026, as no recent prosecutorial actions or warrant requests have emerged amid his administration's March 2026 judicial reforms expanding presidential influence over Supreme Court appointments. Polarized opposition calls for resumption face institutional barriers, with Yoon Suk-yeol's recent imprisonment highlighting enforcement selectivity but not targeting Lee.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$316,971Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's ongoing criminal trials—including election law violations, the Daejang-dong development scandal, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—remain indefinitely suspended since his 2025 inauguration, per constitutional immunity protections that shield sitting presidents from prosecution except for insurrection or treason. This procedural halt, upheld by multiple court postponements in 2025, underpins trader consensus at 87.8% against arrest before year-end 2026, as no recent prosecutorial actions or warrant requests have emerged amid his administration's March 2026 judicial reforms expanding presidential influence over Supreme Court appointments. Polarized opposition calls for resumption face institutional barriers, with Yoon Suk-yeol's recent imprisonment highlighting enforcement selectivity but not targeting Lee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp