South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol received a life sentence for insurrection in February 2026 over his 2024 martial law declaration, with the Seoul Central District Court ruling upheld on appeal in related proceedings. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term in June 2026 and a Supreme Court affirmation of a seven-year sentence in July, have kept him detained at the Seoul Detention Center amid ongoing appeals. Multiple parallel trials and the standard timeline for South Korea’s appellate process through higher courts make any release before the end of 2026 unlikely. Trader consensus reflected in the 94% probability for “No” aligns with these confirmed judicial outcomes and the absence of procedural developments that would trigger early custody termination.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật6% khả năng
$183,697 KL.
$183,697 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
6% khả năng
$183,697 KL.
$183,697 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol received a life sentence for insurrection in February 2026 over his 2024 martial law declaration, with the Seoul Central District Court ruling upheld on appeal in related proceedings. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term in June 2026 and a Supreme Court affirmation of a seven-year sentence in July, have kept him detained at the Seoul Detention Center amid ongoing appeals. Multiple parallel trials and the standard timeline for South Korea’s appellate process through higher courts make any release before the end of 2026 unlikely. Trader consensus reflected in the 94% probability for “No” aligns with these confirmed judicial outcomes and the absence of procedural developments that would trigger early custody termination.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$183,697Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol received a life sentence for insurrection in February 2026 over his 2024 martial law declaration, with the Seoul Central District Court ruling upheld on appeal in related proceedings. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term in June 2026 and a Supreme Court affirmation of a seven-year sentence in July, have kept him detained at the Seoul Detention Center amid ongoing appeals. Multiple parallel trials and the standard timeline for South Korea’s appellate process through higher courts make any release before the end of 2026 unlikely. Trader consensus reflected in the 94% probability for “No” aligns with these confirmed judicial outcomes and the absence of procedural developments that would trigger early custody termination.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$183,697Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol received a life sentence for insurrection in February 2026 over his 2024 martial law declaration, with the Seoul Central District Court ruling upheld on appeal in related proceedings. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term in June 2026 and a Supreme Court affirmation of a seven-year sentence in July, have kept him detained at the Seoul Detention Center amid ongoing appeals. Multiple parallel trials and the standard timeline for South Korea’s appellate process through higher courts make any release before the end of 2026 unlikely. Trader consensus reflected in the 94% probability for “No” aligns with these confirmed judicial outcomes and the absence of procedural developments that would trigger early custody termination.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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