Recent court rulings have reinforced expectations that former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol will remain in custody well beyond 2026. In February 2026 a Seoul court convicted him of leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial-law declaration and imposed a life sentence, while an April appeals decision raised a related term to seven years. Yoon, detained since July 2025 after earlier brief releases, now faces multiple parallel trials whose appeals will extend into 2027 or later under standard Korean judicial timelines. Traders therefore assign an 84 percent probability that no early release or acquittal will occur before the end of 2026, reflecting both the severity of the convictions and the length of the remaining legal process.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$11,298 KL.
$11,298 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$11,298 KL.
$11,298 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent court rulings have reinforced expectations that former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol will remain in custody well beyond 2026. In February 2026 a Seoul court convicted him of leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial-law declaration and imposed a life sentence, while an April appeals decision raised a related term to seven years. Yoon, detained since July 2025 after earlier brief releases, now faces multiple parallel trials whose appeals will extend into 2027 or later under standard Korean judicial timelines. Traders therefore assign an 84 percent probability that no early release or acquittal will occur before the end of 2026, reflecting both the severity of the convictions and the length of the remaining legal process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,298Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent court rulings have reinforced expectations that former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol will remain in custody well beyond 2026. In February 2026 a Seoul court convicted him of leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial-law declaration and imposed a life sentence, while an April appeals decision raised a related term to seven years. Yoon, detained since July 2025 after earlier brief releases, now faces multiple parallel trials whose appeals will extend into 2027 or later under standard Korean judicial timelines. Traders therefore assign an 84 percent probability that no early release or acquittal will occur before the end of 2026, reflecting both the severity of the convictions and the length of the remaining legal process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$11,298Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent court rulings have reinforced expectations that former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol will remain in custody well beyond 2026. In February 2026 a Seoul court convicted him of leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial-law declaration and imposed a life sentence, while an April appeals decision raised a related term to seven years. Yoon, detained since July 2025 after earlier brief releases, now faces multiple parallel trials whose appeals will extend into 2027 or later under standard Korean judicial timelines. Traders therefore assign an 84 percent probability that no early release or acquittal will occur before the end of 2026, reflecting both the severity of the convictions and the length of the remaining legal process.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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