**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases against him, shielding the sitting head of state from prosecution or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason.** Courts have postponed proceedings across election-law violations, development-project corruption allegations, and related matters, citing the need for him to focus on official duties. His Democratic Party’s legislative majority supports ongoing efforts to review or cancel prior indictments through special-counsel mechanisms, further reducing procedural risks of arrest through December 2026. Recent activity reinforces this positioning: Lee has conducted bilateral summits with Central Asian leaders on energy and security cooperation while preparing a September 18 press conference to address prosecution issues and term-limit questions. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days indicate active enforcement actions or shifts that would overcome these protections. Traders price the low probability of arrest accordingly, reflecting the institutional barriers and political control that have kept detention off the immediate agenda.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật7% khả năng
$548,061 KL.
$548,061 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
7% khả năng
$548,061 KL.
$548,061 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases against him, shielding the sitting head of state from prosecution or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason.**
Courts have postponed proceedings across election-law violations, development-project corruption allegations, and related matters, citing the need for him to focus on official duties. His Democratic Party’s legislative majority supports ongoing efforts to review or cancel prior indictments through special-counsel mechanisms, further reducing procedural risks of arrest through December 2026.
Recent activity reinforces this positioning: Lee has conducted bilateral summits with Central Asian leaders on energy and security cooperation while preparing a September 18 press conference to address prosecution issues and term-limit questions. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days indicate active enforcement actions or shifts that would overcome these protections. Traders price the low probability of arrest accordingly, reflecting the institutional barriers and political control that have kept detention off the immediate agenda.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$548,061Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases against him, shielding the sitting head of state from prosecution or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason.**
Courts have postponed proceedings across election-law violations, development-project corruption allegations, and related matters, citing the need for him to focus on official duties. His Democratic Party’s legislative majority supports ongoing efforts to review or cancel prior indictments through special-counsel mechanisms, further reducing procedural risks of arrest through December 2026.
Recent activity reinforces this positioning: Lee has conducted bilateral summits with Central Asian leaders on energy and security cooperation while preparing a September 18 press conference to address prosecution issues and term-limit questions. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days indicate active enforcement actions or shifts that would overcome these protections. Traders price the low probability of arrest accordingly, reflecting the institutional barriers and political control that have kept detention off the immediate agenda.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$548,061Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases against him, shielding the sitting head of state from prosecution or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason.** Courts have postponed proceedings across election-law violations, development-project corruption allegations, and related matters, citing the need for him to focus on official duties. His Democratic Party’s legislative majority supports ongoing efforts to review or cancel prior indictments through special-counsel mechanisms, further reducing procedural risks of arrest through December 2026. Recent activity reinforces this positioning: Lee has conducted bilateral summits with Central Asian leaders on energy and security cooperation while preparing a September 18 press conference to address prosecution issues and term-limit questions. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days indicate active enforcement actions or shifts that would overcome these protections. Traders price the low probability of arrest accordingly, reflecting the institutional barriers and political control that have kept detention off the immediate agenda.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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